OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 faces intense competitive pressure from Anthropic’s expected Claude Fable 5 / Mythos 5 launch, driving recent leaks of internal codenames and Codex routing entries that signal active testing of efficiency and safety upgrades over the May GPT-5.5 baseline. These developments, combined with chief scientist comments on meaningful capability gains, have concentrated trader sentiment on the next two weeks, producing nearly identical 34% and 33.8% implied probabilities for the June 15–21 and 22–28 windows. The slim 27% chance of a post-June 28 release reflects ongoing uncertainty around final benchmarks, regulatory reviews, and potential last-minute delays typical in frontier large language model rollouts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJune 22–June 28 34.2%
June 15–June 21 34%
Not released by June 28 30.1%
June 8–June 14 <1%
$162,520 ปริมาณ
$162,520 ปริมาณ
Jun 28, 2026
June 8–June 14
<1%
June 15–June 21
34%
June 22–June 28
34%
Not released by June 28
30%
June 22–June 28 34.2%
June 15–June 21 34%
Not released by June 28 30.1%
June 8–June 14 <1%
$162,520 ปริมาณ
$162,520 ปริมาณ
Jun 28, 2026
June 8–June 14
$40,299 ปริมาณ
<1%
June 15–June 21
$28,385 ปริมาณ
34%
June 22–June 28
$19,233 ปริมาณ
34%
Not released by June 28
$32,178 ปริมาณ
30%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 faces intense competitive pressure from Anthropic’s expected Claude Fable 5 / Mythos 5 launch, driving recent leaks of internal codenames and Codex routing entries that signal active testing of efficiency and safety upgrades over the May GPT-5.5 baseline. These developments, combined with chief scientist comments on meaningful capability gains, have concentrated trader sentiment on the next two weeks, producing nearly identical 34% and 33.8% implied probabilities for the June 15–21 and 22–28 windows. The slim 27% chance of a post-June 28 release reflects ongoing uncertainty around final benchmarks, regulatory reviews, and potential last-minute delays typical in frontier large language model rollouts.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$162,520วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 faces intense competitive pressure from Anthropic’s expected Claude Fable 5 / Mythos 5 launch, driving recent leaks of internal codenames and Codex routing entries that signal active testing of efficiency and safety upgrades over the May GPT-5.5 baseline. These developments, combined with chief scientist comments on meaningful capability gains, have concentrated trader sentiment on the next two weeks, producing nearly identical 34% and 33.8% implied probabilities for the June 15–21 and 22–28 windows. The slim 27% chance of a post-June 28 release reflects ongoing uncertainty around final benchmarks, regulatory reviews, and potential last-minute delays typical in frontier large language model rollouts.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$162,520วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 faces intense competitive pressure from Anthropic’s expected Claude Fable 5 / Mythos 5 launch, driving recent leaks of internal codenames and Codex routing entries that signal active testing of efficiency and safety upgrades over the May GPT-5.5 baseline. These developments, combined with chief scientist comments on meaningful capability gains, have concentrated trader sentiment on the next two weeks, producing nearly identical 34% and 33.8% implied probabilities for the June 15–21 and 22–28 windows. The slim 27% chance of a post-June 28 release reflects ongoing uncertainty around final benchmarks, regulatory reviews, and potential last-minute delays typical in frontier large language model rollouts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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