Google's May 19 I/O announcement outlining a Gemini 3.5 Pro rollout following the 3.5 Flash launch continues to shape trader views on the next flagship large language model. With the prior 3.1 Pro preview dating to February and no subsequent official previews, capability demonstrations, or developer updates, the market shows a narrow edge for no release by June 30 amid clustered mid-to-late June dates. This distribution reflects standard post-conference validation cycles needed for meaningful gains in reasoning and agentic workflows over the previous model, plus competitive pressure from rival frontier releases. Traders are monitoring any earnings commentary or benchmark leaks that could accelerate or delay timing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNo release by June 30 22.3%
June 23 19%
June 30 13%
June 16 9%
$74,071 ปริมาณ
$74,071 ปริมาณ
June 7
<1%
June 8
1%
June 9
3%
June 10
1%
June 11
5%
June 12
1%
June 13
<1%
June 14
<1%
June 15
1%
June 16
9%
June 17
8%
June 18
7%
June 19
2%
June 20
1%
June 21
1%
June 22
1%
June 23
19%
June 24
5%
June 25
1%
June 26
7%
June 27
2%
June 28
<1%
June 29
<1%
June 30
13%
No release by June 30
22%
No release by June 30 22.3%
June 23 19%
June 30 13%
June 16 9%
$74,071 ปริมาณ
$74,071 ปริมาณ
June 7
<1%
June 8
1%
June 9
3%
June 10
1%
June 11
5%
June 12
1%
June 13
<1%
June 14
<1%
June 15
1%
June 16
9%
June 17
8%
June 18
7%
June 19
2%
June 20
1%
June 21
1%
June 22
1%
June 23
19%
June 24
5%
June 25
1%
June 26
7%
June 27
2%
June 28
<1%
June 29
<1%
June 30
13%
No release by June 30
22%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's May 19 I/O announcement outlining a Gemini 3.5 Pro rollout following the 3.5 Flash launch continues to shape trader views on the next flagship large language model. With the prior 3.1 Pro preview dating to February and no subsequent official previews, capability demonstrations, or developer updates, the market shows a narrow edge for no release by June 30 amid clustered mid-to-late June dates. This distribution reflects standard post-conference validation cycles needed for meaningful gains in reasoning and agentic workflows over the previous model, plus competitive pressure from rival frontier releases. Traders are monitoring any earnings commentary or benchmark leaks that could accelerate or delay timing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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