Washington's 3rd Congressional District holds a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4, 2026, with the two highest vote-getters advancing to the November general. Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez faces Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, alongside lower-profile Democratic challengers such as Brent Hennrich and Austin Braswell. Trader consensus reflects Braun's strong positioning as the leading Republican after the May 8 filing deadline and Perez's established fundraising edge, with both viewed as near-certain to advance given limited opposition and the district's narrow R+2 partisan lean. Recent polls and campaign finance reports show no major shifts in the past month that would alter advancement probabilities ahead of the primary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$45,406 ปริมาณ
John Braun
97%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
89%
Antony Barran
16%
Brent Hennrich
6%
Lawrence Kellogg
5%
Suzzanna V. Tanner
4%
Eric Vaughan
3%
$45,406 ปริมาณ
John Braun
97%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
89%
Antony Barran
16%
Brent Hennrich
6%
Lawrence Kellogg
5%
Suzzanna V. Tanner
4%
Eric Vaughan
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Washington's 3rd Congressional District holds a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4, 2026, with the two highest vote-getters advancing to the November general. Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez faces Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, alongside lower-profile Democratic challengers such as Brent Hennrich and Austin Braswell. Trader consensus reflects Braun's strong positioning as the leading Republican after the May 8 filing deadline and Perez's established fundraising edge, with both viewed as near-certain to advance given limited opposition and the district's narrow R+2 partisan lean. Recent polls and campaign finance reports show no major shifts in the past month that would alter advancement probabilities ahead of the primary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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