The June 9 Republican primary for South Carolina's 1st Congressional District produced no majority winner among 11 candidates, sending the top two—Charleston County Councilmember Jenny Costa Honeycutt (22.1%) and state Representative Mark Smith (18.0%)—to a June 23 runoff. Market pricing reflects trader consensus on Smith's edge in the head-to-head contest, driven by his incumbency in the state House, broader name recognition across the Lowcountry, and established campaign infrastructure. Honeycutt's strong first-round showing as a fiscal-focused challenger narrows the gap but leaves her as the underdog. Lower-tier candidates such as Sam McCown (15.7%) and others received insufficient support to advance and now register near-zero probabilities. The runoff outcome will determine the GOP nominee for the open seat.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSC-01 Republican Primary Winner
SC-01 Republican Primary Winner
Mark Smith 64%
Sam McCown 7.9%
Alex Pelbath 1.6%
Jay Byars <1%
$22,984 ปริมาณ
$22,984 ปริมาณ
Mark Smith
64%
Sam McCown
8%
Alex Pelbath
2%
Jay Byars
1%
Logan Cunningham
1%
Jack Ellison
<1%
Justin Myers
<1%
Dan Brown
<1%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
53%
Mark Smith 64%
Sam McCown 7.9%
Alex Pelbath 1.6%
Jay Byars <1%
$22,984 ปริมาณ
$22,984 ปริมาณ
Mark Smith
64%
Sam McCown
8%
Alex Pelbath
2%
Jay Byars
1%
Logan Cunningham
1%
Jack Ellison
<1%
Justin Myers
<1%
Dan Brown
<1%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
53%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The June 9 Republican primary for South Carolina's 1st Congressional District produced no majority winner among 11 candidates, sending the top two—Charleston County Councilmember Jenny Costa Honeycutt (22.1%) and state Representative Mark Smith (18.0%)—to a June 23 runoff. Market pricing reflects trader consensus on Smith's edge in the head-to-head contest, driven by his incumbency in the state House, broader name recognition across the Lowcountry, and established campaign infrastructure. Honeycutt's strong first-round showing as a fiscal-focused challenger narrows the gap but leaves her as the underdog. Lower-tier candidates such as Sam McCown (15.7%) and others received insufficient support to advance and now register near-zero probabilities. The runoff outcome will determine the GOP nominee for the open seat.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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