Current numerical weather prediction models project a daily minimum temperature near 24–25°C in Shenzhen on September 10, supported by partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity that will moderate nighttime radiative cooling under the influence of the subtropical high-pressure system. Trader-implied probabilities remain closely clustered across bins because short-range forecast ensembles show spread from variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and wind patterns that could either enhance or suppress the overnight low by a few degrees. Key differentiators include the timing of any convective activity, which raises minimums through latent heat release, versus clearer intervals that allow greater surface heat loss; historical September baselines place typical minima around 24–26°C. Updated runs from major global models and local monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 10?
29°C or higher 80%
19°C or below 78%
20°C 39%
21°C 37%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
19°C or below
78%
20°C
39%
21°C
37%
22°C
17%
23°C
23%
24°C
22%
25°C
25%
26°C
23%
27°C
21%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
80%
29°C or higher 80%
19°C or below 78%
20°C 39%
21°C 37%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
19°C or below
$30 ปริมาณ
78%
20°C
$25 ปริมาณ
39%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
22°C
$17 ปริมาณ
17%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C or higher
$25 ปริมาณ
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models project a daily minimum temperature near 24–25°C in Shenzhen on September 10, supported by partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity that will moderate nighttime radiative cooling under the influence of the subtropical high-pressure system. Trader-implied probabilities remain closely clustered across bins because short-range forecast ensembles show spread from variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and wind patterns that could either enhance or suppress the overnight low by a few degrees. Key differentiators include the timing of any convective activity, which raises minimums through latent heat release, versus clearer intervals that allow greater surface heat loss; historical September baselines place typical minima around 24–26°C. Updated runs from major global models and local monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$97วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models project a daily minimum temperature near 24–25°C in Shenzhen on September 10, supported by partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity that will moderate nighttime radiative cooling under the influence of the subtropical high-pressure system. Trader-implied probabilities remain closely clustered across bins because short-range forecast ensembles show spread from variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and wind patterns that could either enhance or suppress the overnight low by a few degrees. Key differentiators include the timing of any convective activity, which raises minimums through latent heat release, versus clearer intervals that allow greater surface heat loss; historical September baselines place typical minima around 24–26°C. Updated runs from major global models and local monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$97วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models project a daily minimum temperature near 24–25°C in Shenzhen on September 10, supported by partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity that will moderate nighttime radiative cooling under the influence of the subtropical high-pressure system. Trader-implied probabilities remain closely clustered across bins because short-range forecast ensembles show spread from variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and wind patterns that could either enhance or suppress the overnight low by a few degrees. Key differentiators include the timing of any convective activity, which raises minimums through latent heat release, versus clearer intervals that allow greater surface heat loss; historical September baselines place typical minima around 24–26°C. Updated runs from major global models and local monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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