Recent forecasts from multiple sources project a mostly cloudy September 10 in Qingdao with light northerly winds, yielding an overnight low near 18–22°C as the Yellow Sea moderates coastal cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 23°C-or-higher bin at 41.5% while the 13°C-or-below outcome at 35.5% reflects lingering uncertainty from model spread and potential localized radiational cooling under variable cloud cover. Diurnal temperature ranges remain compressed by on-shore flow and September climatology, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological services showing stable high pressure and no significant frontal passages through the resolution window. Updated model runs in the next 24 hours will likely narrow the implied probability distribution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 10?
23°C or higher 86%
20°C 40%
21°C 39%
13°C or below 38%
13°C or below
38%
14°C
21%
15°C
27%
16°C
24%
17°C
21%
18°C
21%
19°C
21%
20°C
40%
21°C
39%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
86%
23°C or higher 86%
20°C 40%
21°C 39%
13°C or below 38%
13°C or below
38%
14°C
21%
15°C
27%
16°C
24%
17°C
21%
18°C
21%
19°C
21%
20°C
40%
21°C
39%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
86%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple sources project a mostly cloudy September 10 in Qingdao with light northerly winds, yielding an overnight low near 18–22°C as the Yellow Sea moderates coastal cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 23°C-or-higher bin at 41.5% while the 13°C-or-below outcome at 35.5% reflects lingering uncertainty from model spread and potential localized radiational cooling under variable cloud cover. Diurnal temperature ranges remain compressed by on-shore flow and September climatology, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological services showing stable high pressure and no significant frontal passages through the resolution window. Updated model runs in the next 24 hours will likely narrow the implied probability distribution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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