Recent forecasts indicate an incoming cold air mass and associated rain system will drive a sharp temperature drop across Chongqing by September 10, shifting trader consensus toward the closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C or higher versus 19°C or below. Official model runs highlight increased cloud cover, precipitation, and northeasterly flow that suppress daytime heating while allowing overnight radiative cooling to push minimums near 19°C, consistent with historical analogs for early September frontal passages. Key variables include exact frontal timing and localized urban heat effects, which widen the range of possible daily minima. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria for this weather market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 10?
29°C or higher 96%
19°C or below 49%
22°C 40%
23°C 39%
19°C or below
49%
20°C
21%
21°C
21%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
20%
25°C
20%
26°C
39%
27°C
37%
28°C
39%
29°C or higher
96%
29°C or higher 96%
19°C or below 49%
22°C 40%
23°C 39%
19°C or below
49%
20°C
21%
21°C
21%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
20%
25°C
20%
26°C
39%
27°C
37%
28°C
39%
29°C or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate an incoming cold air mass and associated rain system will drive a sharp temperature drop across Chongqing by September 10, shifting trader consensus toward the closely matched implied probabilities for 29°C or higher versus 19°C or below. Official model runs highlight increased cloud cover, precipitation, and northeasterly flow that suppress daytime heating while allowing overnight radiative cooling to push minimums near 19°C, consistent with historical analogs for early September frontal passages. Key variables include exact frontal timing and localized urban heat effects, which widen the range of possible daily minima. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria for this weather market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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