Goldman Sachs holds a commanding lead in trader sentiment for leading OpenAI’s IPO, with its 75.5% implied probability reflecting its unmatched track record in large-scale technology offerings and recent positioning as a top bookrunner alongside Morgan Stanley. Reports from June 2026 highlighted both banks competing intensely for the “lead left” role on the S-1, with Goldman securing similar advantages in comparable high-profile deals like SpaceX. Morgan Stanley’s 22.5% share stems from its parallel selection and deep AI-sector relationships, though it trails slightly in historical lead allocations for mega-cap tech listings. OpenAI’s accelerating revenue run rate above $40 billion and preparations for a potential late-2026 or 2027 listing have reinforced the focus on these two underwriters, while other banks remain marginal due to limited involvement in the confidential filing process.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman Sachs 76%
Morgan Stanley 23%
UBS 1.8%
Bank of America 1.0%
$42,650 ปริมาณ
$42,650 ปริมาณ

Goldman Sachs
76%

Morgan Stanley
23%

UBS
2%

Bank of America
1%

JPMorgan
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%

Citigroup
<1%

Barclays
<1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%
Goldman Sachs 76%
Morgan Stanley 23%
UBS 1.8%
Bank of America 1.0%
$42,650 ปริมาณ
$42,650 ปริมาณ

Goldman Sachs
76%

Morgan Stanley
23%

UBS
2%

Bank of America
1%

JPMorgan
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%

Citigroup
<1%

Barclays
<1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Goldman Sachs holds a commanding lead in trader sentiment for leading OpenAI’s IPO, with its 75.5% implied probability reflecting its unmatched track record in large-scale technology offerings and recent positioning as a top bookrunner alongside Morgan Stanley. Reports from June 2026 highlighted both banks competing intensely for the “lead left” role on the S-1, with Goldman securing similar advantages in comparable high-profile deals like SpaceX. Morgan Stanley’s 22.5% share stems from its parallel selection and deep AI-sector relationships, though it trails slightly in historical lead allocations for mega-cap tech listings. OpenAI’s accelerating revenue run rate above $40 billion and preparations for a potential late-2026 or 2027 listing have reinforced the focus on these two underwriters, while other banks remain marginal due to limited involvement in the confidential filing process.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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