Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs indicate a peak temperature of 19–20 °C in Warsaw on 23 August 2026, driven by moderate westerly flow at 10–15 mph under partly cloudy skies that limit solar heating while preventing strong radiational cooling. Surface observations through mid-morning show readings climbing from 14–16 °C toward 17–19 °C by midday, consistent with the climatological late-August maximum near 21 °C but tempered by the current synoptic pattern. Low precipitation probability and stable 1016–1018 hPa pressure reinforce the narrow temperature envelope, explaining why market-implied odds concentrate so heavily on 19 °C and 20 °C while assigning minimal probability to outcomes outside 18–21 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 23?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 23?
20°C 46%
19°C 40%
18°C 5%
21°C 5%
$16,920 ปริมาณ
$16,920 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
40%
20°C
48%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 46%
19°C 40%
18°C 5%
21°C 5%
$16,920 ปริมาณ
$16,920 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
$474 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$283 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$633 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C
$2,018 ปริมาณ
5%
19°C
$3,779 ปริมาณ
40%
20°C
$2,497 ปริมาณ
48%
21°C
$1,858 ปริมาณ
5%
22°C
$1,277 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$1,092 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$569 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C or higher
$2,440 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs indicate a peak temperature of 19–20 °C in Warsaw on 23 August 2026, driven by moderate westerly flow at 10–15 mph under partly cloudy skies that limit solar heating while preventing strong radiational cooling. Surface observations through mid-morning show readings climbing from 14–16 °C toward 17–19 °C by midday, consistent with the climatological late-August maximum near 21 °C but tempered by the current synoptic pattern. Low precipitation probability and stable 1016–1018 hPa pressure reinforce the narrow temperature envelope, explaining why market-implied odds concentrate so heavily on 19 °C and 20 °C while assigning minimal probability to outcomes outside 18–21 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,920วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs indicate a peak temperature of 19–20 °C in Warsaw on 23 August 2026, driven by moderate westerly flow at 10–15 mph under partly cloudy skies that limit solar heating while preventing strong radiational cooling. Surface observations through mid-morning show readings climbing from 14–16 °C toward 17–19 °C by midday, consistent with the climatological late-August maximum near 21 °C but tempered by the current synoptic pattern. Low precipitation probability and stable 1016–1018 hPa pressure reinforce the narrow temperature envelope, explaining why market-implied odds concentrate so heavily on 19 °C and 20 °C while assigning minimal probability to outcomes outside 18–21 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,920วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs indicate a peak temperature of 19–20 °C in Warsaw on 23 August 2026, driven by moderate westerly flow at 10–15 mph under partly cloudy skies that limit solar heating while preventing strong radiational cooling. Surface observations through mid-morning show readings climbing from 14–16 °C toward 17–19 °C by midday, consistent with the climatological late-August maximum near 21 °C but tempered by the current synoptic pattern. Low precipitation probability and stable 1016–1018 hPa pressure reinforce the narrow temperature envelope, explaining why market-implied odds concentrate so heavily on 19 °C and 20 °C while assigning minimal probability to outcomes outside 18–21 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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