Recent official forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and extended models place Tel Aviv's maximum temperature on August 16 at 33°C, aligning with the market's dominant 64.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and light winds support strong daytime heating, while the moderating influence of Mediterranean sea breezes typically caps peaks near historical August averages of 30–32°C. Recent observational data show modest warming above norms, yet no major heatwave signals or model consensus shifts toward 34°C or higher have emerged to elevate those lower-probability bins. Traders are therefore weighting the stable seasonal pattern and limited upside variance heavily as resolution approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 16?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 16?
33°C 65%
32°C 19%
34°C 14%
31°C 2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
19%
33°C
65%
34°C
14%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 65%
32°C 19%
34°C 14%
31°C 2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
$55 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$94 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$156 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$112 ปริมาณ
19%
33°C
$521 ปริมาณ
65%
34°C
$203 ปริมาณ
14%
35°C
$204 ปริมาณ
2%
36°C
$317 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$226 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$128 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C or higher
$282 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and extended models place Tel Aviv's maximum temperature on August 16 at 33°C, aligning with the market's dominant 64.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and light winds support strong daytime heating, while the moderating influence of Mediterranean sea breezes typically caps peaks near historical August averages of 30–32°C. Recent observational data show modest warming above norms, yet no major heatwave signals or model consensus shifts toward 34°C or higher have emerged to elevate those lower-probability bins. Traders are therefore weighting the stable seasonal pattern and limited upside variance heavily as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,297วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and extended models place Tel Aviv's maximum temperature on August 16 at 33°C, aligning with the market's dominant 64.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and light winds support strong daytime heating, while the moderating influence of Mediterranean sea breezes typically caps peaks near historical August averages of 30–32°C. Recent observational data show modest warming above norms, yet no major heatwave signals or model consensus shifts toward 34°C or higher have emerged to elevate those lower-probability bins. Traders are therefore weighting the stable seasonal pattern and limited upside variance heavily as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,297วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and extended models place Tel Aviv's maximum temperature on August 16 at 33°C, aligning with the market's dominant 64.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and light winds support strong daytime heating, while the moderating influence of Mediterranean sea breezes typically caps peaks near historical August averages of 30–32°C. Recent observational data show modest warming above norms, yet no major heatwave signals or model consensus shifts toward 34°C or higher have emerged to elevate those lower-probability bins. Traders are therefore weighting the stable seasonal pattern and limited upside variance heavily as resolution approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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