Recent official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble model outputs place the highest temperature in the Incheon-Seoul area on September 12 in the 25–27°C range, with limited spread across GFS, ECMWF, and regional runs. Light northerly to northwesterly flow under high pressure is expected to limit warm advection while partly to mostly cloudy skies moderate daytime heating, keeping peak values near seasonal norms rather than pushing higher. Urban heat effects at Seoul stations versus the coastal Incheon site introduce minor observational differences, and small variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight market split between 25°C and 26°C implied probabilities. Updated short-range model runs and afternoon observations on September 11 will be the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 12?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 12?
25°C 38%
26°C 35%
24°C 11%
27°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
11%
25°C
38%
26°C
35%
27°C
11%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
3%
25°C 38%
26°C 35%
24°C 11%
27°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
19°C or below
$120 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$120 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$19 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$65 ปริมาณ
5%
24°C
$31 ปริมาณ
11%
25°C
$101 ปริมาณ
38%
26°C
$29 ปริมาณ
35%
27°C
$84 ปริมาณ
11%
28°C
$59 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C or higher
$50 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble model outputs place the highest temperature in the Incheon-Seoul area on September 12 in the 25–27°C range, with limited spread across GFS, ECMWF, and regional runs. Light northerly to northwesterly flow under high pressure is expected to limit warm advection while partly to mostly cloudy skies moderate daytime heating, keeping peak values near seasonal norms rather than pushing higher. Urban heat effects at Seoul stations versus the coastal Incheon site introduce minor observational differences, and small variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight market split between 25°C and 26°C implied probabilities. Updated short-range model runs and afternoon observations on September 11 will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$677วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble model outputs place the highest temperature in the Incheon-Seoul area on September 12 in the 25–27°C range, with limited spread across GFS, ECMWF, and regional runs. Light northerly to northwesterly flow under high pressure is expected to limit warm advection while partly to mostly cloudy skies moderate daytime heating, keeping peak values near seasonal norms rather than pushing higher. Urban heat effects at Seoul stations versus the coastal Incheon site introduce minor observational differences, and small variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight market split between 25°C and 26°C implied probabilities. Updated short-range model runs and afternoon observations on September 11 will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$677วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble model outputs place the highest temperature in the Incheon-Seoul area on September 12 in the 25–27°C range, with limited spread across GFS, ECMWF, and regional runs. Light northerly to northwesterly flow under high pressure is expected to limit warm advection while partly to mostly cloudy skies moderate daytime heating, keeping peak values near seasonal norms rather than pushing higher. Urban heat effects at Seoul stations versus the coastal Incheon site introduce minor observational differences, and small variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight market split between 25°C and 26°C implied probabilities. Updated short-range model runs and afternoon observations on September 11 will be the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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