Ongoing southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, are suppressing daytime solar heating and anchoring Lucknow's maximum temperature near the seasonal average of 32-33°C. Numerical weather prediction models and India Meteorological Department guidance show consensus on easterly flow and 60-80% rain probability for August 15, limiting extremes while introducing uncertainty in exact convective timing that differentiates the tightly matched 33°C and 34°C outcomes at 35.5% each. Historical August highs rarely exceed 35°C under active monsoon regimes, keeping higher thresholds low-probability in trader assessments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 15?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 15?
34°C 36%
33°C 35%
35°C 16%
32°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 15, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
9%
33°C
35%
34°C
36%
35°C
16%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 36%
33°C 35%
35°C 16%
32°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 15, 2026
28°C or below
$719 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$903 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$104 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$173 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$447 ปริมาณ
9%
33°C
$1,042 ปริมาณ
35%
34°C
$1,858 ปริมาณ
36%
35°C
$812 ปริมาณ
16%
36°C
$312 ปริมาณ
4%
37°C
$111 ปริมาณ
1%
38°C or higher
$247 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, are suppressing daytime solar heating and anchoring Lucknow's maximum temperature near the seasonal average of 32-33°C. Numerical weather prediction models and India Meteorological Department guidance show consensus on easterly flow and 60-80% rain probability for August 15, limiting extremes while introducing uncertainty in exact convective timing that differentiates the tightly matched 33°C and 34°C outcomes at 35.5% each. Historical August highs rarely exceed 35°C under active monsoon regimes, keeping higher thresholds low-probability in trader assessments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,728วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, are suppressing daytime solar heating and anchoring Lucknow's maximum temperature near the seasonal average of 32-33°C. Numerical weather prediction models and India Meteorological Department guidance show consensus on easterly flow and 60-80% rain probability for August 15, limiting extremes while introducing uncertainty in exact convective timing that differentiates the tightly matched 33°C and 34°C outcomes at 35.5% each. Historical August highs rarely exceed 35°C under active monsoon regimes, keeping higher thresholds low-probability in trader assessments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,728วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, are suppressing daytime solar heating and anchoring Lucknow's maximum temperature near the seasonal average of 32-33°C. Numerical weather prediction models and India Meteorological Department guidance show consensus on easterly flow and 60-80% rain probability for August 15, limiting extremes while introducing uncertainty in exact convective timing that differentiates the tightly matched 33°C and 34°C outcomes at 35.5% each. Historical August highs rarely exceed 35°C under active monsoon regimes, keeping higher thresholds low-probability in trader assessments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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