Traders are heavily favoring 94-95°F (44% implied probability) as the peak temperature in Houston on July 25, 2026, followed by 92-93°F (27%), reflecting consensus from National Weather Service and model guidance showing typical midsummer conditions under a building subtropical ridge. Normal highs for late July at Houston Intercontinental Airport average 94-96°F, driven by strong insolation, southerly flow off the Gulf of Mexico, and minimal cloud cover early in the day. Recent developments include an expanding heat dome across Texas that has produced highs in the mid-90s to near 100°F in prior days, with limited afternoon convection expected to provide slight cooling without widespread rain. Model runs show low precipitation chances and dew points in the mid-70s, supporting heat indices above 105°F but limiting extreme outliers. Any late-day sea breeze or scattered storms could cap readings near the lower end of the favored range, while stronger subsidence would push toward 96-97°F.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on July 25?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 25?
92-93°F 48%
94-95°F 35%
96-97°F 12%
90-91°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 25, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
48%
94-95°F
35%
96-97°F
12%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 48%
94-95°F 35%
96-97°F 12%
90-91°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 25, 2026
83°F or below
$267 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$193 ปริมาณ
<1%
86-87°F
$198 ปริมาณ
<1%
88-89°F
$204 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-91°F
$434 ปริมาณ
6%
92-93°F
$4,578 ปริมาณ
48%
94-95°F
$559 ปริมาณ
35%
96-97°F
$520 ปริมาณ
12%
98-99°F
$234 ปริมาณ
1%
100-101°F
$260 ปริมาณ
<1%
102°F or higher
$194 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are heavily favoring 94-95°F (44% implied probability) as the peak temperature in Houston on July 25, 2026, followed by 92-93°F (27%), reflecting consensus from National Weather Service and model guidance showing typical midsummer conditions under a building subtropical ridge. Normal highs for late July at Houston Intercontinental Airport average 94-96°F, driven by strong insolation, southerly flow off the Gulf of Mexico, and minimal cloud cover early in the day. Recent developments include an expanding heat dome across Texas that has produced highs in the mid-90s to near 100°F in prior days, with limited afternoon convection expected to provide slight cooling without widespread rain. Model runs show low precipitation chances and dew points in the mid-70s, supporting heat indices above 105°F but limiting extreme outliers. Any late-day sea breeze or scattered storms could cap readings near the lower end of the favored range, while stronger subsidence would push toward 96-97°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,637วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are heavily favoring 94-95°F (44% implied probability) as the peak temperature in Houston on July 25, 2026, followed by 92-93°F (27%), reflecting consensus from National Weather Service and model guidance showing typical midsummer conditions under a building subtropical ridge. Normal highs for late July at Houston Intercontinental Airport average 94-96°F, driven by strong insolation, southerly flow off the Gulf of Mexico, and minimal cloud cover early in the day. Recent developments include an expanding heat dome across Texas that has produced highs in the mid-90s to near 100°F in prior days, with limited afternoon convection expected to provide slight cooling without widespread rain. Model runs show low precipitation chances and dew points in the mid-70s, supporting heat indices above 105°F but limiting extreme outliers. Any late-day sea breeze or scattered storms could cap readings near the lower end of the favored range, while stronger subsidence would push toward 96-97°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,637วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are heavily favoring 94-95°F (44% implied probability) as the peak temperature in Houston on July 25, 2026, followed by 92-93°F (27%), reflecting consensus from National Weather Service and model guidance showing typical midsummer conditions under a building subtropical ridge. Normal highs for late July at Houston Intercontinental Airport average 94-96°F, driven by strong insolation, southerly flow off the Gulf of Mexico, and minimal cloud cover early in the day. Recent developments include an expanding heat dome across Texas that has produced highs in the mid-90s to near 100°F in prior days, with limited afternoon convection expected to provide slight cooling without widespread rain. Model runs show low precipitation chances and dew points in the mid-70s, supporting heat indices above 105°F but limiting extreme outliers. Any late-day sea breeze or scattered storms could cap readings near the lower end of the favored range, while stronger subsidence would push toward 96-97°F.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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