Latest ensemble guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models points to a mild winter day in Buenos Aires on July 28, with daytime highs most likely reaching 17–19 °C under light northerly flow that advects warmer air while limited cloud cover allows modest solar heating. Historical July maxima average near 14–15 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly driven by steering patterns and reduced nocturnal cooling carryover. Small differences in frontal timing or wind shifts could easily alter the peak by 1–2 °C, explaining why market-implied probabilities remain closely clustered among the 17 °C, 18 °C, and 19 °C outcomes with no single outcome exceeding one-third implied probability. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 28?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 28?
18°C 38%
17°C 32%
19°C 16%
16°C 7%
ใหม่
$25,640 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$25,640 ปริมาณ
Jul 28, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
32%
18°C
38%
19°C
16%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 38%
17°C 32%
19°C 16%
16°C 7%
ใหม่
$25,640 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$25,640 ปริมาณ
Jul 28, 2026
12°C or below
$2,440 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$1,822 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$525 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$3,013 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$2,674 ปริมาณ
7%
17°C
$2,608 ปริมาณ
32%
18°C
$5,486 ปริมาณ
38%
19°C
$4,799 ปริมาณ
16%
20°C
$1,404 ปริมาณ
5%
21°C
$432 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C or higher
$436 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models points to a mild winter day in Buenos Aires on July 28, with daytime highs most likely reaching 17–19 °C under light northerly flow that advects warmer air while limited cloud cover allows modest solar heating. Historical July maxima average near 14–15 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly driven by steering patterns and reduced nocturnal cooling carryover. Small differences in frontal timing or wind shifts could easily alter the peak by 1–2 °C, explaining why market-implied probabilities remain closely clustered among the 17 °C, 18 °C, and 19 °C outcomes with no single outcome exceeding one-third implied probability. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,640วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models points to a mild winter day in Buenos Aires on July 28, with daytime highs most likely reaching 17–19 °C under light northerly flow that advects warmer air while limited cloud cover allows modest solar heating. Historical July maxima average near 14–15 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly driven by steering patterns and reduced nocturnal cooling carryover. Small differences in frontal timing or wind shifts could easily alter the peak by 1–2 °C, explaining why market-implied probabilities remain closely clustered among the 17 °C, 18 °C, and 19 °C outcomes with no single outcome exceeding one-third implied probability. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,640วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 26, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models points to a mild winter day in Buenos Aires on July 28, with daytime highs most likely reaching 17–19 °C under light northerly flow that advects warmer air while limited cloud cover allows modest solar heating. Historical July maxima average near 14–15 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest positive anomaly driven by steering patterns and reduced nocturnal cooling carryover. Small differences in frontal timing or wind shifts could easily alter the peak by 1–2 °C, explaining why market-implied probabilities remain closely clustered among the 17 °C, 18 °C, and 19 °C outcomes with no single outcome exceeding one-third implied probability. Updated short-range runs tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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