Widow’s Bay’s breakout status as a freshman Apple TV+ horror-comedy has driven its 54.5% implied probability, fueled by a dominant 19 Emmy nominations announced in early July that included series, writing, directing, and multiple acting nods. Traders view the show’s critical and online buzz, strong renewal, and fresh industry narrative as outweighing Hacks’ established track record at 40.8%, even as the latter enters its final season with Jean Smart’s star power and guild momentum. The remaining nominees, including Abbott Elementary and Shrinking, sit below 1% amid limited recent catalysts. The September ceremony remains the key resolution point, where late voter sentiment or surprise upsets could still shift the close contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEmmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series
“Widow’s Bay” 55%
“Hacks” 40.8%
“Abbott Elementary” <1%
“Shrinking” <1%
$54,187 ปริมาณ
$54,187 ปริมาณ
“Widow’s Bay”
55%
“Hacks”
41%
“Abbott Elementary”
1%
“Shrinking”
<1%
“The Bear”
<1%
“Only Murders in the Building”
<1%
“Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
<1%
“Nobody Wants This”
<1%
“Widow’s Bay” 55%
“Hacks” 40.8%
“Abbott Elementary” <1%
“Shrinking” <1%
$54,187 ปริมาณ
$54,187 ปริมาณ
“Widow’s Bay”
55%
“Hacks”
41%
“Abbott Elementary”
1%
“Shrinking”
<1%
“The Bear”
<1%
“Only Murders in the Building”
<1%
“Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
<1%
“Nobody Wants This”
<1%
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 10, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Widow’s Bay’s breakout status as a freshman Apple TV+ horror-comedy has driven its 54.5% implied probability, fueled by a dominant 19 Emmy nominations announced in early July that included series, writing, directing, and multiple acting nods. Traders view the show’s critical and online buzz, strong renewal, and fresh industry narrative as outweighing Hacks’ established track record at 40.8%, even as the latter enters its final season with Jean Smart’s star power and guild momentum. The remaining nominees, including Abbott Elementary and Shrinking, sit below 1% amid limited recent catalysts. The September ceremony remains the key resolution point, where late voter sentiment or surprise upsets could still shift the close contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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