Incumbent Republican Tom McClintock advanced from California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote, joined by Democrat Michael Masuda. The district's Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index, has long favored the GOP, and McClintock has held the seat without serious primary opposition since 2008. Masuda, an engineer and former State Department official, cleared the Democratic field but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by nonpartisan analysts. With the general election set for November 3, traders appear to price in the low likelihood of an upset, consistent with historical results in similar California districts and the absence of recent polling shifts or external events that would alter the competitive landscape.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-05 House Election Winner
CA-05 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,895 ปริมาณ
83%
Democratic Party
$1,496 ปริมาณ
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom McClintock advanced from California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote, joined by Democrat Michael Masuda. The district's Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index, has long favored the GOP, and McClintock has held the seat without serious primary opposition since 2008. Masuda, an engineer and former State Department official, cleared the Democratic field but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by nonpartisan analysts. With the general election set for November 3, traders appear to price in the low likelihood of an upset, consistent with historical results in similar California districts and the absence of recent polling shifts or external events that would alter the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,391วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom McClintock advanced from California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote, joined by Democrat Michael Masuda. The district's Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index, has long favored the GOP, and McClintock has held the seat without serious primary opposition since 2008. Masuda, an engineer and former State Department official, cleared the Democratic field but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by nonpartisan analysts. With the general election set for November 3, traders appear to price in the low likelihood of an upset, consistent with historical results in similar California districts and the absence of recent polling shifts or external events that would alter the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,391วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom McClintock advanced from California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote, joined by Democrat Michael Masuda. The district's Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index, has long favored the GOP, and McClintock has held the seat without serious primary opposition since 2008. Masuda, an engineer and former State Department official, cleared the Democratic field but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by nonpartisan analysts. With the general election set for November 3, traders appear to price in the low likelihood of an upset, consistent with historical results in similar California districts and the absence of recent polling shifts or external events that would alter the competitive landscape.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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