Allstate’s Property-Liability combined ratio market reflects trader focus on sustained underwriting improvement heading into the Aug 5–6 earnings release. Q1 2026 results showed an 82.0% recorded ratio, down 15.4 points year-over-year, driven by lower catastrophe losses, favorable prior-year reserve releases, and 5.5% earned-premium growth from prior rate actions. Through May, 2026 catastrophe claims have remained below 2025 levels, supporting expectations for an underlying ratio near the 80.3% Q1 mark. These factors position sub-88% outcomes as the consensus, while the narrower 88–90% band accounts for potential seasonal claim volatility or modest reserve adjustments before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว<88% 51%
88%-90% 33%
90%-92% 11%
94%+ 3.6%
<88%
51%
88%-90%
23%
90%-92%
14%
92%-94%
3%
94%+
4%
<88% 51%
88%-90% 33%
90%-92% 11%
94%+ 3.6%
<88%
51%
88%-90%
23%
90%-92%
14%
92%-94%
3%
94%+
4%
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Allstate’s Property-Liability combined ratio market reflects trader focus on sustained underwriting improvement heading into the Aug 5–6 earnings release. Q1 2026 results showed an 82.0% recorded ratio, down 15.4 points year-over-year, driven by lower catastrophe losses, favorable prior-year reserve releases, and 5.5% earned-premium growth from prior rate actions. Through May, 2026 catastrophe claims have remained below 2025 levels, supporting expectations for an underlying ratio near the 80.3% Q1 mark. These factors position sub-88% outcomes as the consensus, while the narrower 88–90% band accounts for potential seasonal claim volatility or modest reserve adjustments before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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