The Philippine Senate's impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened on July 6 following the House's May transmission of four articles alleging misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, bribery, and grave threats, remains closely balanced around the constitutional threshold of 16 guilty votes out of 24 senators. Trader consensus near even odds reflects the Senate's fragmented alignments, with a Duterte-aligned bloc offsetting momentum from administration supporters amid ongoing witness testimony on Department of Education disbursements and related records. Separate criminal proceedings, including a recent arrest warrant for threats charges that Duterte addressed via bail, have not altered the trial's procedural path. Shifts could arise from further evidence on financial or procurement issues, senator absences or realignments before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, or rulings on contested documents.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
51% вероятность
$12,170 Объем
$12,170 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
51% вероятность
$12,170 Объем
$12,170 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate's impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened on July 6 following the House's May transmission of four articles alleging misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, bribery, and grave threats, remains closely balanced around the constitutional threshold of 16 guilty votes out of 24 senators. Trader consensus near even odds reflects the Senate's fragmented alignments, with a Duterte-aligned bloc offsetting momentum from administration supporters amid ongoing witness testimony on Department of Education disbursements and related records. Separate criminal proceedings, including a recent arrest warrant for threats charges that Duterte addressed via bail, have not altered the trial's procedural path. Shifts could arise from further evidence on financial or procurement issues, senator absences or realignments before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, or rulings on contested documents.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Открытие рынка: May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Объем
$12,170Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate's impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened on July 6 following the House's May transmission of four articles alleging misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, bribery, and grave threats, remains closely balanced around the constitutional threshold of 16 guilty votes out of 24 senators. Trader consensus near even odds reflects the Senate's fragmented alignments, with a Duterte-aligned bloc offsetting momentum from administration supporters amid ongoing witness testimony on Department of Education disbursements and related records. Separate criminal proceedings, including a recent arrest warrant for threats charges that Duterte addressed via bail, have not altered the trial's procedural path. Shifts could arise from further evidence on financial or procurement issues, senator absences or realignments before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, or rulings on contested documents.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Объем
$12,170Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The Philippine Senate's impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened on July 6 following the House's May transmission of four articles alleging misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, bribery, and grave threats, remains closely balanced around the constitutional threshold of 16 guilty votes out of 24 senators. Trader consensus near even odds reflects the Senate's fragmented alignments, with a Duterte-aligned bloc offsetting momentum from administration supporters amid ongoing witness testimony on Department of Education disbursements and related records. Separate criminal proceedings, including a recent arrest warrant for threats charges that Duterte addressed via bail, have not altered the trial's procedural path. Shifts could arise from further evidence on financial or procurement issues, senator absences or realignments before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, or rulings on contested documents.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы