Banksy’s official Instagram functions almost exclusively as a verification channel for new street works rather than a regular feed, and the 70.5% market-implied probability on “No” by September 30 stems from the absence of any confirmed mural, installation, or political flashpoint since earlier 2026 pieces. The artist’s posting history shows extended quiet periods between authenticating drops, with the account’s 14.1 million followers typically seeing activity only when a fresh piece surfaces in London or elsewhere. With roughly four weeks remaining and no guild-style precursors or chart-like momentum indicators pointing to an imminent release, traders are pricing in another gap. A surprise UK political development or overnight stencil could still shift odds, but current conditions favor continued silence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБэнкси опубликует пост в Instagram к 30 сентября?
Бэнкси опубликует пост в Instagram к 30 сентября?
Да
30% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 сент. 2026 г.
Да
30% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 сент. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify.
Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion.
Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe.
The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).Banksy’s official Instagram functions almost exclusively as a verification channel for new street works rather than a regular feed, and the 70.5% market-implied probability on “No” by September 30 stems from the absence of any confirmed mural, installation, or political flashpoint since earlier 2026 pieces. The artist’s posting history shows extended quiet periods between authenticating drops, with the account’s 14.1 million followers typically seeing activity only when a fresh piece surfaces in London or elsewhere. With roughly four weeks remaining and no guild-style precursors or chart-like momentum indicators pointing to an imminent release, traders are pricing in another gap. A surprise UK political development or overnight stencil could still shift odds, but current conditions favor continued silence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify.
Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion.
Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe.
The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).
Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify.
Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion.
Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe.
The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Объем
$414Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:12 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.instagram.com/banksy/Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify.
Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion.
Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe.
The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).Banksy’s official Instagram functions almost exclusively as a verification channel for new street works rather than a regular feed, and the 70.5% market-implied probability on “No” by September 30 stems from the absence of any confirmed mural, installation, or political flashpoint since earlier 2026 pieces. The artist’s posting history shows extended quiet periods between authenticating drops, with the account’s 14.1 million followers typically seeing activity only when a fresh piece surfaces in London or elsewhere. With roughly four weeks remaining and no guild-style precursors or chart-like momentum indicators pointing to an imminent release, traders are pricing in another gap. A surprise UK political development or overnight stencil could still shift odds, but current conditions favor continued silence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify.
Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion.
Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe.
The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).
Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify.
Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion.
Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe.
The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).
Объем
$414Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:12 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.instagram.com/banksy/Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Banksy’s official Instagram functions almost exclusively as a verification channel for new street works rather than a regular feed, and the 70.5% market-implied probability on “No” by September 30 stems from the absence of any confirmed mural, installation, or political flashpoint since earlier 2026 pieces. The artist’s posting history shows extended quiet periods between authenticating drops, with the account’s 14.1 million followers typically seeing activity only when a fresh piece surfaces in London or elsewhere. With roughly four weeks remaining and no guild-style precursors or chart-like momentum indicators pointing to an imminent release, traders are pricing in another gap. A surprise UK political development or overnight stencil could still shift odds, but current conditions favor continued silence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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