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icon for Когда АП назовет первичные выборы губернатора от Демократической партии Висконсина?

Когда АП назовет первичные выборы губернатора от Демократической партии Висконсина?

icon for Когда АП назовет первичные выборы губернатора от Демократической партии Висконсина?

Когда АП назовет первичные выборы губернатора от Демократической партии Висконсина?

$931 Объем

12 авг. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$931 Объем

Polymarket

До 2:00 12 августа

$242 Объем

Нет

До 3 утра 12 августа

$187 Объем

Нет

До 4:00 утра 12 августа

$178 Объем

Да

До 5 утра 12 августа

$161 Объем

Да

До 10:00 12 августа

$161 Объем

Да

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, held on August 11, 2026, before the date and time (ET) specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform). The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time. Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call. A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.The August 11, 2026 Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor produced an unexpectedly tight contest between Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and state Rep. Francesca Hong after several high-profile dropouts narrowed the field late in the cycle. Unofficial results showed the two candidates separated by roughly 3,000 votes out of more than 780,000 cast, with vote counting continuing into the following day and no concession issued. The Associated Press typically withholds a call in such low-margin, high-uncertainty primaries until a clear majority of precincts report and remaining ballots cannot mathematically alter the outcome. Traders are therefore monitoring the pace of remaining canvassing, any late-reporting urban or absentee batches, and statements from the campaigns or election officials that could accelerate or delay an AP projection. Historical precedent in similarly close Wisconsin contests shows the wire service often waits 12–36 hours after polls close when margins fall below 1–2 percent.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, held on August 11, 2026, before the date and time (ET) specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).

The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.

Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.

A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.
Объем
$931
Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://apnews.com/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, held on August 11, 2026, before the date and time (ET) specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform). The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time. Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call. A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, held on August 11, 2026, before the date and time (ET) specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform). The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time. Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call. A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.The August 11, 2026 Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor produced an unexpectedly tight contest between Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley and state Rep. Francesca Hong after several high-profile dropouts narrowed the field late in the cycle. Unofficial results showed the two candidates separated by roughly 3,000 votes out of more than 780,000 cast, with vote counting continuing into the following day and no concession issued. The Associated Press typically withholds a call in such low-margin, high-uncertainty primaries until a clear majority of precincts report and remaining ballots cannot mathematically alter the outcome. Traders are therefore monitoring the pace of remaining canvassing, any late-reporting urban or absentee batches, and statements from the campaigns or election officials that could accelerate or delay an AP projection. Historical precedent in similarly close Wisconsin contests shows the wire service often waits 12–36 hours after polls close when margins fall below 1–2 percent.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, held on August 11, 2026, before the date and time (ET) specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform).

The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time.

Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call.

A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.
Объем
$931
Дата окончания
12 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://apnews.com/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press (AP) first makes a definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, held on August 11, 2026, before the date and time (ET) specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A definitive call is an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or uses equivalent language indicating that the AP has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the AP's primary platforms (official website, AP News feed, television broadcast, or official AP social media account if used as a primary platform). The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the AP's platform, not when it may have been decided internally or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market will still resolve based on the initial public call time. Mentions of other outlets' calls, exit poll reports, conditional or speculative phrasing (e.g., "appears to," "likely to," "may have"), and opinion commentary do not qualify as a definitive call. A call first becoming publicly visible exactly at a time specified in a market's title will not be considered to have occurred before that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press' official reporting (https://apnews.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting confirming the timing of the first AP call may also be used.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

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