Olivia Rodrigo’s “the cure” leads the 2026 VMA Best Alternative market at 55% implied probability, reflecting her strong crossover appeal and recent chart dominance on Billboard’s Hot Rock & Alternative Songs tally following the track’s May release. The seven-nominee field remains competitive, with Twenty One Pilots’ “Drag Path” at 26% and Noah Kahan’s “The Great Divide” at 14% trailing on the strength of dedicated fanbases and established alt-rock credentials, while lower-priced entries like Geese’s “Taxes,” MGK & Fred Durst’s “Fix Ur Face,” Sombr’s “Homewrecker,” and Tame Impala’s “Dracula” face steeper barriers to voter consensus. As a fan-voted category ahead of the September 27 ceremony, momentum hinges on social engagement and last-minute streaming spikes before voting closes September 25.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЛучшая альтернатива VMA 2026
Лучшая альтернатива VMA 2026
The Cure (Оливия Родриго) 54%
The Great Divide (Ноа Кэхан) 13%
Drag Path (Twenty One Pilots) 11%
Dracula (Tame Impala) 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 сент. 2026 г.
The Cure (Оливия Родриго)
54%
The Great Divide (Ноа Кэхан)
13%
Drag Path (Twenty One Pilots)
11%
Dracula (Tame Impala)
7%
Fix Ur Face (MGK и Fred Durst)
6%
Homewrecker (Sombr)
6%
Taxes (Geese)
5%
The Cure (Оливия Родриго) 54%
The Great Divide (Ноа Кэхан) 13%
Drag Path (Twenty One Pilots) 11%
Dracula (Tame Impala) 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 сент. 2026 г.
The Cure (Оливия Родриго)
$41 Объем
54%
The Great Divide (Ноа Кэхан)
$41 Объем
13%
Drag Path (Twenty One Pilots)
$0 Объем
11%
Dracula (Tame Impala)
$21 Объем
7%
Fix Ur Face (MGK и Fred Durst)
$0 Объем
6%
Homewrecker (Sombr)
$0 Объем
6%
Taxes (Geese)
$138 Объем
5%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Olivia Rodrigo’s “the cure” leads the 2026 VMA Best Alternative market at 55% implied probability, reflecting her strong crossover appeal and recent chart dominance on Billboard’s Hot Rock & Alternative Songs tally following the track’s May release. The seven-nominee field remains competitive, with Twenty One Pilots’ “Drag Path” at 26% and Noah Kahan’s “The Great Divide” at 14% trailing on the strength of dedicated fanbases and established alt-rock credentials, while lower-priced entries like Geese’s “Taxes,” MGK & Fred Durst’s “Fix Ur Face,” Sombr’s “Homewrecker,” and Tame Impala’s “Dracula” face steeper barriers to voter consensus. As a fan-voted category ahead of the September 27 ceremony, momentum hinges on social engagement and last-minute streaming spikes before voting closes September 25.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Объем
$241Дата окончания
28 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Olivia Rodrigo’s “the cure” leads the 2026 VMA Best Alternative market at 55% implied probability, reflecting her strong crossover appeal and recent chart dominance on Billboard’s Hot Rock & Alternative Songs tally following the track’s May release. The seven-nominee field remains competitive, with Twenty One Pilots’ “Drag Path” at 26% and Noah Kahan’s “The Great Divide” at 14% trailing on the strength of dedicated fanbases and established alt-rock credentials, while lower-priced entries like Geese’s “Taxes,” MGK & Fred Durst’s “Fix Ur Face,” Sombr’s “Homewrecker,” and Tame Impala’s “Dracula” face steeper barriers to voter consensus. As a fan-voted category ahead of the September 27 ceremony, momentum hinges on social engagement and last-minute streaming spikes before voting closes September 25.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$241Дата окончания
28 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Olivia Rodrigo’s “the cure” leads the 2026 VMA Best Alternative market at 55% implied probability, reflecting her strong crossover appeal and recent chart dominance on Billboard’s Hot Rock & Alternative Songs tally following the track’s May release. The seven-nominee field remains competitive, with Twenty One Pilots’ “Drag Path” at 26% and Noah Kahan’s “The Great Divide” at 14% trailing on the strength of dedicated fanbases and established alt-rock credentials, while lower-priced entries like Geese’s “Taxes,” MGK & Fred Durst’s “Fix Ur Face,” Sombr’s “Homewrecker,” and Tame Impala’s “Dracula” face steeper barriers to voter consensus. As a fan-voted category ahead of the September 27 ceremony, momentum hinges on social engagement and last-minute streaming spikes before voting closes September 25.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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