Ongoing clashes between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) continue to shape prospects for a ceasefire, with SAF advances in North Kordofan and RSF counteroffensives in Blue Nile state shifting territorial control as of mid-August 2026. Diplomatic initiatives include a June prisoner exchange, the first since 2023, plus US proposals for a 90-day humanitarian truce tied to phased withdrawals and civilian transition talks. SAF leadership under Abdel Fattah al-Burhan has conditioned any agreement on full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities and rejected plans allowing RSF participation in power structures, while launching intra-Sudanese dialogue with temporary immunity offers. An African Union Peace and Security Council delegation visited Khartoum in August to advance ceasefire and political process efforts, yet battlefield momentum and precondition disputes remain primary barriers to near-term de-escalation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПрекращение огня во время гражданской войны в Судане...?
Прекращение огня во время гражданской войны в Судане...?
$119,392 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
31 декабря 2026 года
11%
$119,392 Объем
31 декабря 2026 года
$14,853 Объем
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Ongoing clashes between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) continue to shape prospects for a ceasefire, with SAF advances in North Kordofan and RSF counteroffensives in Blue Nile state shifting territorial control as of mid-August 2026. Diplomatic initiatives include a June prisoner exchange, the first since 2023, plus US proposals for a 90-day humanitarian truce tied to phased withdrawals and civilian transition talks. SAF leadership under Abdel Fattah al-Burhan has conditioned any agreement on full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities and rejected plans allowing RSF participation in power structures, while launching intra-Sudanese dialogue with temporary immunity offers. An African Union Peace and Security Council delegation visited Khartoum in August to advance ceasefire and political process efforts, yet battlefield momentum and precondition disputes remain primary barriers to near-term de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
Объем
$119,392Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Ongoing clashes between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) continue to shape prospects for a ceasefire, with SAF advances in North Kordofan and RSF counteroffensives in Blue Nile state shifting territorial control as of mid-August 2026. Diplomatic initiatives include a June prisoner exchange, the first since 2023, plus US proposals for a 90-day humanitarian truce tied to phased withdrawals and civilian transition talks. SAF leadership under Abdel Fattah al-Burhan has conditioned any agreement on full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities and rejected plans allowing RSF participation in power structures, while launching intra-Sudanese dialogue with temporary immunity offers. An African Union Peace and Security Council delegation visited Khartoum in August to advance ceasefire and political process efforts, yet battlefield momentum and precondition disputes remain primary barriers to near-term de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Объем
$119,392Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing clashes between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) continue to shape prospects for a ceasefire, with SAF advances in North Kordofan and RSF counteroffensives in Blue Nile state shifting territorial control as of mid-August 2026. Diplomatic initiatives include a June prisoner exchange, the first since 2023, plus US proposals for a 90-day humanitarian truce tied to phased withdrawals and civilian transition talks. SAF leadership under Abdel Fattah al-Burhan has conditioned any agreement on full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities and rejected plans allowing RSF participation in power structures, while launching intra-Sudanese dialogue with temporary immunity offers. An African Union Peace and Security Council delegation visited Khartoum in August to advance ceasefire and political process efforts, yet battlefield momentum and precondition disputes remain primary barriers to near-term de-escalation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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