**Recent opinion polls ahead of the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election show the SPD consistently ahead of the BSW in projected vote share.** Latest surveys from pollytix (August 12), INSA (August 10), and Infratest dimap (late July) place the SPD at 6–7% and the BSW at 4–5%, with the established Social Democrats maintaining a narrow but stable edge over the newer party. The BSW, contesting the state election for the first time after its 2024 founding, has focused on building local structures and fielding co-lead candidates Thomas Schulze and Claudia Wittig, with Sahra Wagenknecht appearing at campaign events in August. However, its support has remained flat near the 5% threshold amid competition from the stronger-performing Left Party (around 13%). The SPD, led by Armin Willingmann, benefits from its established organizational presence despite modest overall numbers. With the election less than two weeks away and no major recent polling shifts, traders view the SPD as the clear favorite to secure the higher vote total between the two.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСДПГ
92% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
СДПГ
92% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “SPD” if SPD wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than SPD in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both SPD and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).**Recent opinion polls ahead of the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election show the SPD consistently ahead of the BSW in projected vote share.** Latest surveys from pollytix (August 12), INSA (August 10), and Infratest dimap (late July) place the SPD at 6–7% and the BSW at 4–5%, with the established Social Democrats maintaining a narrow but stable edge over the newer party.
The BSW, contesting the state election for the first time after its 2024 founding, has focused on building local structures and fielding co-lead candidates Thomas Schulze and Claudia Wittig, with Sahra Wagenknecht appearing at campaign events in August. However, its support has remained flat near the 5% threshold amid competition from the stronger-performing Left Party (around 13%). The SPD, led by Armin Willingmann, benefits from its established organizational presence despite modest overall numbers.
With the election less than two weeks away and no major recent polling shifts, traders view the SPD as the clear favorite to secure the higher vote total between the two.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “SPD” if SPD wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than SPD in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both SPD and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to “SPD” if SPD wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than SPD in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both SPD and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Объем
$2,241Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “SPD” if SPD wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than SPD in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both SPD and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).**Recent opinion polls ahead of the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election show the SPD consistently ahead of the BSW in projected vote share.** Latest surveys from pollytix (August 12), INSA (August 10), and Infratest dimap (late July) place the SPD at 6–7% and the BSW at 4–5%, with the established Social Democrats maintaining a narrow but stable edge over the newer party.
The BSW, contesting the state election for the first time after its 2024 founding, has focused on building local structures and fielding co-lead candidates Thomas Schulze and Claudia Wittig, with Sahra Wagenknecht appearing at campaign events in August. However, its support has remained flat near the 5% threshold amid competition from the stronger-performing Left Party (around 13%). The SPD, led by Armin Willingmann, benefits from its established organizational presence despite modest overall numbers.
With the election less than two weeks away and no major recent polling shifts, traders view the SPD as the clear favorite to secure the higher vote total between the two.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “SPD” if SPD wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than SPD in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both SPD and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to “SPD” if SPD wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than SPD in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both SPD and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Объем
$2,241Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent opinion polls ahead of the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election show the SPD consistently ahead of the BSW in projected vote share.** Latest surveys from pollytix (August 12), INSA (August 10), and Infratest dimap (late July) place the SPD at 6–7% and the BSW at 4–5%, with the established Social Democrats maintaining a narrow but stable edge over the newer party. The BSW, contesting the state election for the first time after its 2024 founding, has focused on building local structures and fielding co-lead candidates Thomas Schulze and Claudia Wittig, with Sahra Wagenknecht appearing at campaign events in August. However, its support has remained flat near the 5% threshold amid competition from the stronger-performing Left Party (around 13%). The SPD, led by Armin Willingmann, benefits from its established organizational presence despite modest overall numbers. With the election less than two weeks away and no major recent polling shifts, traders view the SPD as the clear favorite to secure the higher vote total between the two.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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