Pierre Poilievre retains strong internal party support as Conservative leader and Leader of the Opposition following the 2025 election defeat. Delegates at the January 2026 Calgary convention delivered an 87.4% endorsement in the mandatory post-election leadership review required by party rules. No subsequent caucus revolt, constitutional mechanism, or organized challenge has emerged to force a contest before the December 31, 2026 market resolution date. Summer 2026 reports of private MP concerns and limited floor crossings have not produced viable alternatives or procedural openings. Traders price the 86.5% probability of continuity on this sustained grassroots backing and the absence of near-term catalysts for transition.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
14% вероятность
$157,225 Объем
$157,225 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
Да
14% вероятность
$157,225 Объем
$157,225 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pierre Poilievre retains strong internal party support as Conservative leader and Leader of the Opposition following the 2025 election defeat. Delegates at the January 2026 Calgary convention delivered an 87.4% endorsement in the mandatory post-election leadership review required by party rules. No subsequent caucus revolt, constitutional mechanism, or organized challenge has emerged to force a contest before the December 31, 2026 market resolution date. Summer 2026 reports of private MP concerns and limited floor crossings have not produced viable alternatives or procedural openings. Traders price the 86.5% probability of continuity on this sustained grassroots backing and the absence of near-term catalysts for transition.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 12:02 PM ET
Объем
$157,225Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 12:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pierre Poilievre retains strong internal party support as Conservative leader and Leader of the Opposition following the 2025 election defeat. Delegates at the January 2026 Calgary convention delivered an 87.4% endorsement in the mandatory post-election leadership review required by party rules. No subsequent caucus revolt, constitutional mechanism, or organized challenge has emerged to force a contest before the December 31, 2026 market resolution date. Summer 2026 reports of private MP concerns and limited floor crossings have not produced viable alternatives or procedural openings. Traders price the 86.5% probability of continuity on this sustained grassroots backing and the absence of near-term catalysts for transition.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$157,225Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 12:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pierre Poilievre retains strong internal party support as Conservative leader and Leader of the Opposition following the 2025 election defeat. Delegates at the January 2026 Calgary convention delivered an 87.4% endorsement in the mandatory post-election leadership review required by party rules. No subsequent caucus revolt, constitutional mechanism, or organized challenge has emerged to force a contest before the December 31, 2026 market resolution date. Summer 2026 reports of private MP concerns and limited floor crossings have not produced viable alternatives or procedural openings. Traders price the 86.5% probability of continuity on this sustained grassroots backing and the absence of near-term catalysts for transition.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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