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icon for Рост доходов Microsoft (MSFT) Azure в 4 квартале (постоянная валюта)?
Финансы·КПЭ

Рост доходов Microsoft (MSFT) Azure в 4 квартале (постоянная валюта)?

icon for Рост доходов Microsoft (MSFT) Azure в 4 квартале (постоянная валюта)?
Финансы·КПЭ

Рост доходов Microsoft (MSFT) Azure в 4 квартале (постоянная валюта)?

июл. 29

июл. 29

июл. 29

июл. 29

июл. 29

июл. 29

40%-42% 53%

38%-40% 30%

42%-44% 12%

<38% 7%

Polymarket

$17,626 Объем

40%-42% 53%

38%-40% 30%

42%-44% 12%

<38% 7%

Polymarket

$17,626 Объем

<38%

$247 Объем

7%

38%-40%

$8,875 Объем

30%

40%-42%

$5,740 Объем

53%

42%-44%

$2,611 Объем

12%

44%+%

$152 Объем

4%

This market will resolve according to Microsoft's Azure revenue growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Microsoft's Q3 FY2026 results delivered Azure growth of 39% in constant currency, prompting management guidance of 39% to 40% for Q4 against a strong prior-year base, which anchors trader expectations around the 40%–42% outcome now holding the highest implied probability at 35.5%. Persistent AI infrastructure demand, including expanding Copilot and OpenAI workloads, supports durability, yet capacity constraints, elevated capital expenditures, and competition from AWS and Google Cloud introduce variability. Currency fluctuations and broader enterprise spending trends further contribute to the tight spread across 38%–44% buckets, reflecting real-money consensus on near-term execution risks ahead of the upcoming earnings release.

This market will resolve according to Microsoft's Azure revenue growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Объем
$17,626
Дата окончания
29 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 17, 2026, 10:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's Azure revenue growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's Azure revenue growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Microsoft's Q3 FY2026 results delivered Azure growth of 39% in constant currency, prompting management guidance of 39% to 40% for Q4 against a strong prior-year base, which anchors trader expectations around the 40%–42% outcome now holding the highest implied probability at 35.5%. Persistent AI infrastructure demand, including expanding Copilot and OpenAI workloads, supports durability, yet capacity constraints, elevated capital expenditures, and competition from AWS and Google Cloud introduce variability. Currency fluctuations and broader enterprise spending trends further contribute to the tight spread across 38%–44% buckets, reflecting real-money consensus on near-term execution risks ahead of the upcoming earnings release.

This market will resolve according to Microsoft's Azure revenue growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Объем
$17,626
Дата окончания
29 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 17, 2026, 10:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's Azure revenue growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Связанные

icon for Будет ли доход Microsoft (MSFT) от облачных услуг в 4-м квартале выше $58 млрд?

Будет ли доход Microsoft (MSFT) от облачных услуг в 4-м квартале выше $58 млрд?

89%
Да
icon for Будут ли общие капитальные расходы Microsoft (MSFT) в 4 квартале выше $38 млрд?

Будут ли общие капитальные расходы Microsoft (MSFT) в 4 квартале выше $38 млрд?

94%
Да
icon for Рост количества показов рекламы Meta (META) во втором квартале среди Family of Apps составил 16%-19%?

Рост количества показов рекламы Meta (META) во втором квартале среди Family of Apps составил 16%-19%?

41%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Рост доходов Microsoft (MSFT) Azure в 4 квартале (постоянная валюта)?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «40%-42%» с 53%, за ним следует «38%-40%» с 30%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 53¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 53%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Рост доходов Microsoft (MSFT) Azure в 4 квартале (постоянная валюта)?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $17.6K с момента запуска рынка Jul 17, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Рост доходов Microsoft (MSFT) Azure в 4 квартале (постоянная валюта)?», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Рост доходов Microsoft (MSFT) Azure в 4 квартале (постоянная валюта)?» — «40%-42%» с 53%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 53%. Следующий ближайший исход — «38%-40%» с 30%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Рост доходов Microsoft (MSFT) Azure в 4 квартале (постоянная валюта)?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.