Recent forecasts from sources like PAGASA and international models indicate Manila's overnight minimum on September 21 will hinge on persistent monsoon moisture, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. High humidity near 80-90% combined with light variable winds reduces the typical nocturnal temperature drop of 4-6°C below daytime maxima around 30-31°C. Urban heat island effects in Metro Manila further elevate baseline readings, while any breaks in cloud cover could enhance cooling and push the minimum toward 30°C. Model consensus shows limited divergence for this short lead time, leaving traders balanced on whether precipitation timing allows the threshold to hold at 31°C or dip to 30°C. Updated PAGASA guidance and next model runs will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Маниле 21 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Маниле 21 сентября?
21°C или ниже 99%
31°C или выше 99%
27°C 40%
22°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
99%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
21%
26°C
21%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C или выше
99%
21°C или ниже 99%
31°C или выше 99%
27°C 40%
22°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$0 Объем
99%
22°C
$0 Объем
39%
23°C
$0 Объем
39%
24°C
$0 Объем
39%
25°C
$0 Объем
21%
26°C
$0 Объем
21%
27°C
$0 Объем
40%
28°C
$0 Объем
39%
29°C
$0 Объем
39%
30°C
$0 Объем
39%
31°C или выше
$0 Объем
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like PAGASA and international models indicate Manila's overnight minimum on September 21 will hinge on persistent monsoon moisture, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. High humidity near 80-90% combined with light variable winds reduces the typical nocturnal temperature drop of 4-6°C below daytime maxima around 30-31°C. Urban heat island effects in Metro Manila further elevate baseline readings, while any breaks in cloud cover could enhance cooling and push the minimum toward 30°C. Model consensus shows limited divergence for this short lead time, leaving traders balanced on whether precipitation timing allows the threshold to hold at 31°C or dip to 30°C. Updated PAGASA guidance and next model runs will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like PAGASA and international models indicate Manila's overnight minimum on September 21 will hinge on persistent monsoon moisture, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. High humidity near 80-90% combined with light variable winds reduces the typical nocturnal temperature drop of 4-6°C below daytime maxima around 30-31°C. Urban heat island effects in Metro Manila further elevate baseline readings, while any breaks in cloud cover could enhance cooling and push the minimum toward 30°C. Model consensus shows limited divergence for this short lead time, leaving traders balanced on whether precipitation timing allows the threshold to hold at 31°C or dip to 30°C. Updated PAGASA guidance and next model runs will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like PAGASA and international models indicate Manila's overnight minimum on September 21 will hinge on persistent monsoon moisture, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. High humidity near 80-90% combined with light variable winds reduces the typical nocturnal temperature drop of 4-6°C below daytime maxima around 30-31°C. Urban heat island effects in Metro Manila further elevate baseline readings, while any breaks in cloud cover could enhance cooling and push the minimum toward 30°C. Model consensus shows limited divergence for this short lead time, leaving traders balanced on whether precipitation timing allows the threshold to hold at 31°C or dip to 30°C. Updated PAGASA guidance and next model runs will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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