India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts for Lucknow district consistently project a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 20, aligning closely with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 48% implied probability. High humidity levels near 80%, persistent cloud cover, and light winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in the post-monsoon transition period, when typical minima range 25–27°C. Recent observations from September 18–19 recorded overnight lows of 26°C under similar conditions. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance and climatological baselines against potential model variability in steering patterns or localized rainfall that could nudge readings slightly lower or higher.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лакхнау 20 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Лакхнау 20 сентября?
21°C или ниже 54%
31°C или выше 54%
26°C 48%
25°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
54%
22°C
15%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
48%
27°C
21%
28°C
39%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C или выше
54%
21°C или ниже 54%
31°C или выше 54%
26°C 48%
25°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$0 Объем
54%
22°C
$0 Объем
15%
23°C
$0 Объем
39%
24°C
$0 Объем
39%
25°C
$0 Объем
40%
26°C
$28 Объем
48%
27°C
$0 Объем
21%
28°C
$0 Объем
39%
29°C
$0 Объем
1%
30°C
$0 Объем
1%
31°C или выше
$0 Объем
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts for Lucknow district consistently project a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 20, aligning closely with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 48% implied probability. High humidity levels near 80%, persistent cloud cover, and light winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in the post-monsoon transition period, when typical minima range 25–27°C. Recent observations from September 18–19 recorded overnight lows of 26°C under similar conditions. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance and climatological baselines against potential model variability in steering patterns or localized rainfall that could nudge readings slightly lower or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$28Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts for Lucknow district consistently project a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 20, aligning closely with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 48% implied probability. High humidity levels near 80%, persistent cloud cover, and light winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in the post-monsoon transition period, when typical minima range 25–27°C. Recent observations from September 18–19 recorded overnight lows of 26°C under similar conditions. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance and climatological baselines against potential model variability in steering patterns or localized rainfall that could nudge readings slightly lower or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$28Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department block-level forecasts for Lucknow district consistently project a minimum temperature of 27°C on September 20, aligning closely with the market's leading 26°C outcome at 48% implied probability. High humidity levels near 80%, persistent cloud cover, and light winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in the post-monsoon transition period, when typical minima range 25–27°C. Recent observations from September 18–19 recorded overnight lows of 26°C under similar conditions. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance and climatological baselines against potential model variability in steering patterns or localized rainfall that could nudge readings slightly lower or higher.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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