Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate Dallas overnight lows on August 25 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 80s, with southerly flow and a warm, moist air mass limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. A potential tropical system influence around August 23-25 could enhance cloud cover and humidity, supporting warmer minimum temperatures near 84-87°F rather than seasonal norms of 75-77°F. This uncertainty—centered on exact cloud timing, wind shifts, and any scattered showers—explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 80-87°F bins, with traders weighing the latest model runs and steering patterns ahead of final observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Далласе 25 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Далласе 25 августа?
84-85°F 48%
86-87°F 48%
80-81°F 46%
78-79°F 43%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
77°F или ниже
29%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
46%
82–83°F
43%
84-85°F
48%
86-87°F
48%
88-89°F
43%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
16%
94-95°F
16%
96°F или выше
23%
84-85°F 48%
86-87°F 48%
80-81°F 46%
78-79°F 43%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
77°F или ниже
$5 Объем
29%
78-79°F
$0 Объем
43%
80-81°F
$0 Объем
46%
82–83°F
$0 Объем
43%
84-85°F
$0 Объем
48%
86-87°F
$0 Объем
48%
88-89°F
$0 Объем
43%
90-91°F
$5 Объем
2%
92-93°F
$5 Объем
16%
94-95°F
$5 Объем
16%
96°F или выше
$5 Объем
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate Dallas overnight lows on August 25 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 80s, with southerly flow and a warm, moist air mass limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. A potential tropical system influence around August 23-25 could enhance cloud cover and humidity, supporting warmer minimum temperatures near 84-87°F rather than seasonal norms of 75-77°F. This uncertainty—centered on exact cloud timing, wind shifts, and any scattered showers—explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 80-87°F bins, with traders weighing the latest model runs and steering patterns ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Объем
$25Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate Dallas overnight lows on August 25 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 80s, with southerly flow and a warm, moist air mass limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. A potential tropical system influence around August 23-25 could enhance cloud cover and humidity, supporting warmer minimum temperatures near 84-87°F rather than seasonal norms of 75-77°F. This uncertainty—centered on exact cloud timing, wind shifts, and any scattered showers—explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 80-87°F bins, with traders weighing the latest model runs and steering patterns ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$25Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate Dallas overnight lows on August 25 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 80s, with southerly flow and a warm, moist air mass limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. A potential tropical system influence around August 23-25 could enhance cloud cover and humidity, supporting warmer minimum temperatures near 84-87°F rather than seasonal norms of 75-77°F. This uncertainty—centered on exact cloud timing, wind shifts, and any scattered showers—explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 80-87°F bins, with traders weighing the latest model runs and steering patterns ahead of final observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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