Andy Burnham’s swift ascent to prime minister in July 2026, following Keir Starmer’s resignation amid record-low approval ratings and heavy local election losses, underpins the strong trader consensus for just two prime ministers by the end of 2027. The uncontested leadership transition and Labour’s large parliamentary majority have reduced near-term instability risks, while the next general election remains scheduled for 2029. Economic headwinds, fiscal pressures ahead of the autumn budget, and Reform UK’s polling strength could still test Burnham’s position, yet the short remaining window makes additional leadership changes less probable. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing recent UK political volatility against the current consolidation around the new leader.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHow many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
2 86%
3 14%
4+ 1.6%
$122,280 Объем
$122,280 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
2
86%
3
14%
4+
2%
2 86%
3 14%
4+ 1.6%
$122,280 Объем
$122,280 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
2
$72,201 Объем
86%
3
$34,449 Объем
14%
4+
$11,068 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution.
To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market
For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andy Burnham’s swift ascent to prime minister in July 2026, following Keir Starmer’s resignation amid record-low approval ratings and heavy local election losses, underpins the strong trader consensus for just two prime ministers by the end of 2027. The uncontested leadership transition and Labour’s large parliamentary majority have reduced near-term instability risks, while the next general election remains scheduled for 2029. Economic headwinds, fiscal pressures ahead of the autumn budget, and Reform UK’s polling strength could still test Burnham’s position, yet the short remaining window makes additional leadership changes less probable. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing recent UK political volatility against the current consolidation around the new leader.
This market will resolve to the number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution.
To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market
For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution.
To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market
For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 6, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
Объем
$122,280Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 6, 2026, 5:21 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution.
To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market
For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andy Burnham’s swift ascent to prime minister in July 2026, following Keir Starmer’s resignation amid record-low approval ratings and heavy local election losses, underpins the strong trader consensus for just two prime ministers by the end of 2027. The uncontested leadership transition and Labour’s large parliamentary majority have reduced near-term instability risks, while the next general election remains scheduled for 2029. Economic headwinds, fiscal pressures ahead of the autumn budget, and Reform UK’s polling strength could still test Burnham’s position, yet the short remaining window makes additional leadership changes less probable. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing recent UK political volatility against the current consolidation around the new leader.
This market will resolve to the number of unique individuals who officially hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution.
To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market
For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the number of unique individuals to hold the position. For example, if an individual is appointed twice within the specified timeframe, they will only count once for resolution.
To count for resolution, an individual must have been officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. An individual’s time of appointment will have no bearing on this market so long as the individual officially serves as Prime Minister within the specified timeframe. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market
For clarity, Keir Starmer will count as one Prime Minister for the purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$122,280Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 6, 2026, 5:21 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Andy Burnham’s swift ascent to prime minister in July 2026, following Keir Starmer’s resignation amid record-low approval ratings and heavy local election losses, underpins the strong trader consensus for just two prime ministers by the end of 2027. The uncontested leadership transition and Labour’s large parliamentary majority have reduced near-term instability risks, while the next general election remains scheduled for 2029. Economic headwinds, fiscal pressures ahead of the autumn budget, and Reform UK’s polling strength could still test Burnham’s position, yet the short remaining window makes additional leadership changes less probable. This skin-in-the-game pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing recent UK political volatility against the current consolidation around the new leader.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы