Recent forecast updates from numerical weather models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate Warsaw's peak temperature on September 17 will reach 18°C amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and moderate westerly winds that limit daytime heating. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where average highs hover near 16–18°C under similar Atlantic-influenced patterns, and current observations show morning temperatures around 14–15°C with dew points near 13°C. Traders assign 62.5% implied probability to 18°C and 30% to 19°C because model consensus and early-day data point to limited warming before evening cooling, though minor forecast revisions could still shift outcomes. Official Polish meteorological measurements will finalize resolution later today.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Варшаве 17 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 17 сентября?
18°C 66%
19°C 29%
20°C 5%
21°C <1%
$23,240 Объем
$23,240 Объем
17 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
66%
19°C
29%
20°C
5%
21°C
<1%
22°C или выше
<1%
18°C 66%
19°C 29%
20°C 5%
21°C <1%
$23,240 Объем
$23,240 Объем
17 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$1,423 Объем
<1%
13°C
$183 Объем
<1%
14°C
$143 Объем
<1%
15°C
$307 Объем
<1%
16°C
$300 Объем
<1%
17°C
$12,009 Объем
<1%
18°C
$3,359 Объем
66%
19°C
$3,805 Объем
29%
20°C
$1,989 Объем
5%
21°C
$576 Объем
<1%
22°C или выше
$538 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from numerical weather models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate Warsaw's peak temperature on September 17 will reach 18°C amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and moderate westerly winds that limit daytime heating. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where average highs hover near 16–18°C under similar Atlantic-influenced patterns, and current observations show morning temperatures around 14–15°C with dew points near 13°C. Traders assign 62.5% implied probability to 18°C and 30% to 19°C because model consensus and early-day data point to limited warming before evening cooling, though minor forecast revisions could still shift outcomes. Official Polish meteorological measurements will finalize resolution later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$23,240Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from numerical weather models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate Warsaw's peak temperature on September 17 will reach 18°C amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and moderate westerly winds that limit daytime heating. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where average highs hover near 16–18°C under similar Atlantic-influenced patterns, and current observations show morning temperatures around 14–15°C with dew points near 13°C. Traders assign 62.5% implied probability to 18°C and 30% to 19°C because model consensus and early-day data point to limited warming before evening cooling, though minor forecast revisions could still shift outcomes. Official Polish meteorological measurements will finalize resolution later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$23,240Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from numerical weather models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate Warsaw's peak temperature on September 17 will reach 18°C amid persistent cloud cover, light showers, and moderate westerly winds that limit daytime heating. This aligns with mid-September climatology, where average highs hover near 16–18°C under similar Atlantic-influenced patterns, and current observations show morning temperatures around 14–15°C with dew points near 13°C. Traders assign 62.5% implied probability to 18°C and 30% to 19°C because model consensus and early-day data point to limited warming before evening cooling, though minor forecast revisions could still shift outcomes. Official Polish meteorological measurements will finalize resolution later today.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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