Official PAGASA forecasts for Manila on July 30 project a daytime high near 32°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C because monsoon-driven convection and humidity typically cap extremes, reducing the diurnal temperature range compared to drier periods. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and moisture influx from the South China Sea, though minor shifts in rainfall timing or intensity could push the peak to 29°C or 33°C. Historical July averages hover near 31°C, underscoring why markets assign low probability to outliers above 34°C or below 28°C without major forecast revisions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 30 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Маниле 30 июля?
31°C 32%
30°C 29%
32°C 19%
29°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июл. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
29%
31°C
32%
32°C
19%
33°C
12%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C или выше
1%
31°C 32%
30°C 29%
32°C 19%
29°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июл. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
$18 Объем
<1%
27°C
$671 Объем
3%
28°C
$8 Объем
4%
29°C
$0 Объем
13%
30°C
$0 Объем
29%
31°C
$0 Объем
32%
32°C
$1 Объем
19%
33°C
$5 Объем
12%
34°C
$7 Объем
5%
35°C
$766 Объем
<1%
36°C или выше
$40 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts for Manila on July 30 project a daytime high near 32°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C because monsoon-driven convection and humidity typically cap extremes, reducing the diurnal temperature range compared to drier periods. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and moisture influx from the South China Sea, though minor shifts in rainfall timing or intensity could push the peak to 29°C or 33°C. Historical July averages hover near 31°C, underscoring why markets assign low probability to outliers above 34°C or below 28°C without major forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 28, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$1,515Дата окончания
30 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts for Manila on July 30 project a daytime high near 32°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C because monsoon-driven convection and humidity typically cap extremes, reducing the diurnal temperature range compared to drier periods. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and moisture influx from the South China Sea, though minor shifts in rainfall timing or intensity could push the peak to 29°C or 33°C. Historical July averages hover near 31°C, underscoring why markets assign low probability to outliers above 34°C or below 28°C without major forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,515Дата окончания
30 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official PAGASA forecasts for Manila on July 30 project a daytime high near 32°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability and persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C because monsoon-driven convection and humidity typically cap extremes, reducing the diurnal temperature range compared to drier periods. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and moisture influx from the South China Sea, though minor shifts in rainfall timing or intensity could push the peak to 29°C or 33°C. Historical July averages hover near 31°C, underscoring why markets assign low probability to outliers above 34°C or below 28°C without major forecast revisions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы