Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and regional sources project a daytime high near 27°C for Istanbul on September 10 under clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph, and stable high pressure that limits cloud cover and moisture. These conditions favor modest daytime warming from overnight lows around 18–20°C, consistent with early-September climatology but tempered by the persistent Poyraz flow. Recent model runs show limited spread with no incoming fronts or significant instability, keeping precipitation chances near zero. Market-implied probabilities clustering on 24–26°C reflect trader caution around potential model revisions or localized urban effects ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 10 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 10 сентября?
25°C 44%
26°C 28%
24°C 22%
23°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
6%
23°C
7%
24°C
22%
25°C
44%
26°C
28%
27°C
7%
28°C
6%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C или выше
4%
25°C 44%
26°C 28%
24°C 22%
23°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$16 Объем
6%
23°C
$16 Объем
7%
24°C
$80 Объем
22%
25°C
$65 Объем
44%
26°C
$35 Объем
28%
27°C
$33 Объем
7%
28°C
$11 Объем
6%
29°C
$11 Объем
6%
30°C
$60 Объем
3%
31°C
$100 Объем
4%
32°C или выше
$100 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and regional sources project a daytime high near 27°C for Istanbul on September 10 under clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph, and stable high pressure that limits cloud cover and moisture. These conditions favor modest daytime warming from overnight lows around 18–20°C, consistent with early-September climatology but tempered by the persistent Poyraz flow. Recent model runs show limited spread with no incoming fronts or significant instability, keeping precipitation chances near zero. Market-implied probabilities clustering on 24–26°C reflect trader caution around potential model revisions or localized urban effects ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$528Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and regional sources project a daytime high near 27°C for Istanbul on September 10 under clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph, and stable high pressure that limits cloud cover and moisture. These conditions favor modest daytime warming from overnight lows around 18–20°C, consistent with early-September climatology but tempered by the persistent Poyraz flow. Recent model runs show limited spread with no incoming fronts or significant instability, keeping precipitation chances near zero. Market-implied probabilities clustering on 24–26°C reflect trader caution around potential model revisions or localized urban effects ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$528Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and regional sources project a daytime high near 27°C for Istanbul on September 10 under clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph, and stable high pressure that limits cloud cover and moisture. These conditions favor modest daytime warming from overnight lows around 18–20°C, consistent with early-September climatology but tempered by the persistent Poyraz flow. Recent model runs show limited spread with no incoming fronts or significant instability, keeping precipitation chances near zero. Market-implied probabilities clustering on 24–26°C reflect trader caution around potential model revisions or localized urban effects ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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