Traders price the September 22–29 window around the 160–219 range because Elon Musk’s recent weekly totals have clustered near 180–190 posts, matching the 186-tweet outcome that resolved the prior bracket. That pace reflects his established cadence of roughly 20–25 posts per day across topics like AI, Tesla updates, and commentary, without the election-era spikes or sustained low-activity stretches seen in other periods. The tight spread among the top three brackets underscores how small day-to-day variations in engagement—driven by breaking news flow or focused work periods—can shift the final count by 20–40 tweets. No major platform events or personal announcements are scheduled to disrupt the baseline, leaving the market reflecting steady, high-volume posting patterns rather than outlier volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено180-199 22%
200-219 20%
160-179 18%
220-239 13%
$81,290 Объем
$81,290 Объем
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120–139
2%
140-159
11%
160-179
18%
180-199
22%
200-219
20%
220-239
13%
240-259
8%
260-279
6%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 22%
200-219 20%
160-179 18%
220-239 13%
$81,290 Объем
$81,290 Объем
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120–139
2%
140-159
11%
160-179
18%
180-199
22%
200-219
20%
220-239
13%
240-259
8%
260-279
6%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Traders price the September 22–29 window around the 160–219 range because Elon Musk’s recent weekly totals have clustered near 180–190 posts, matching the 186-tweet outcome that resolved the prior bracket. That pace reflects his established cadence of roughly 20–25 posts per day across topics like AI, Tesla updates, and commentary, without the election-era spikes or sustained low-activity stretches seen in other periods. The tight spread among the top three brackets underscores how small day-to-day variations in engagement—driven by breaking news flow or focused work periods—can shift the final count by 20–40 tweets. No major platform events or personal announcements are scheduled to disrupt the baseline, leaving the market reflecting steady, high-volume posting patterns rather than outlier volatility.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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