Lula leads trader consensus for first place in Amapá's first-round presidential vote, reflecting recent state-specific polling that places him narrowly ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 36% to 33%, with all other candidates below 3%. A late-August Quaest survey of 804 Amapá voters showed high vote stability at 74% and notable shares of undecided and blank/null ballots, while national aggregates indicate Lula's broader edge. Low probabilities for names such as Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, and others align with their marginal single-digit or sub-3% readings in the same fieldwork. Upcoming campaign broadcasts and debates through early October could still shift preferences in this closely contested northern state before first-round balloting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЛула 63%
Флавио Болсонару 32%
Херц Диас 1.5%
Пабло Марсал 1.3%
$13,532 Объем
$13,532 Объем

Лула
63%

Флавио Болсонару
32%

Херц Диас
2%

Пабло Марсал
1%

Руй Коста Пимента
<1%

Писатель Аугусто Кури
<1%

Роналду Кайаду
<1%

Самара
<1%

Клариана Барау
<1%

Эдмилсон Коста
<1%

Ветеринарный врач Вилсон Грасси
<1%

Ренан Сантос
<1%

Зема
<1%
Лула 63%
Флавио Болсонару 32%
Херц Диас 1.5%
Пабло Марсал 1.3%
$13,532 Объем
$13,532 Объем

Лула
63%

Флавио Болсонару
32%

Херц Диас
2%

Пабло Марсал
1%

Руй Коста Пимента
<1%

Писатель Аугусто Кури
<1%

Роналду Кайаду
<1%

Самара
<1%

Клариана Барау
<1%

Эдмилсон Коста
<1%

Ветеринарный врач Вилсон Грасси
<1%

Ренан Сантос
<1%

Зема
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Lula leads trader consensus for first place in Amapá's first-round presidential vote, reflecting recent state-specific polling that places him narrowly ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 36% to 33%, with all other candidates below 3%. A late-August Quaest survey of 804 Amapá voters showed high vote stability at 74% and notable shares of undecided and blank/null ballots, while national aggregates indicate Lula's broader edge. Low probabilities for names such as Pablo Marçal, Ronaldo Caiado, and others align with their marginal single-digit or sub-3% readings in the same fieldwork. Upcoming campaign broadcasts and debates through early October could still shift preferences in this closely contested northern state before first-round balloting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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