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icon for A candidata presidencial republicana de 2028 será uma mulher?

A candidata presidencial republicana de 2028 será uma mulher?

icon for A candidata presidencial republicana de 2028 será uma mulher?

A candidata presidencial republicana de 2028 será uma mulher?

Sim

4% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

4% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The 2028 Republican presidential field currently centers on male frontrunners such as JD Vance and Marco Rubio, who lead early prediction markets and polling among party voters. Nikki Haley ruled out a bid in April 2026, while other potential female contenders including Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Tulsi Gabbard, and Elise Stefanik register below 2% in related markets. This candidate composition and the absence of any woman building comparable support or endorsements sustain the 96% trader consensus against a female nominee. Late shifts remain possible if health events sideline leading candidates, party dynamics elevate an unlisted contender through primaries, or new announcements reshape the field before the convention.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2,611
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The 2028 Republican presidential field currently centers on male frontrunners such as JD Vance and Marco Rubio, who lead early prediction markets and polling among party voters. Nikki Haley ruled out a bid in April 2026, while other potential female contenders including Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Tulsi Gabbard, and Elise Stefanik register below 2% in related markets. This candidate composition and the absence of any woman building comparable support or endorsements sustain the 96% trader consensus against a female nominee. Late shifts remain possible if health events sideline leading candidates, party dynamics elevate an unlisted contender through primaries, or new announcements reshape the field before the convention.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2,611
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"A candidata presidencial republicana de 2028 será uma mulher?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A indicada presidencial republicana de 2028 será uma mulher?" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"A candidata presidencial republicana de 2028 será uma mulher?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "A candidata presidencial republicana de 2028 será uma mulher?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "A candidata presidencial republicana de 2028 será uma mulher?" is "A indicada presidencial republicana de 2028 será uma mulher?" at just 4%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "A candidata presidencial republicana de 2028 será uma mulher?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.