Islam Makhachev holds an 88.5% implied probability in the market as the dominant welterweight champion entering the final months of 2026, reflecting his recent capture of the title via dominant decision over Jack Della Maddalena in November 2025 and successful first defense against Ian Machado Garry in August 2026. The two-division champion’s suffocating wrestling, record-extending win streak, and consistent pound-for-pound superiority have shaped trader consensus around sustained control through year-end. Carlos Prates sits at 10.4% as the clearest alternative, but realistic shifts would require an unexpected injury setback, a narrow loss in a high-stakes defense, or rapid emergence from an unproven contender altering the division landscape before December 31.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIslam Makhachev 88.5%
Michael Morales <1%
Ian Machado Garry <1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov <1%
$634,521 Vol.
$634,521 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
88%
Michael Morales
1%
Ian Machado Garry
<1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Gabriel Bonfim
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Carlos Prates
33%
Islam Makhachev 88.5%
Michael Morales <1%
Ian Machado Garry <1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov <1%
$634,521 Vol.
$634,521 Vol.
Islam Makhachev
88%
Michael Morales
1%
Ian Machado Garry
<1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Kamaru Usman
<1%
Gabriel Bonfim
<1%
Jack Della Maddalena
<1%
Belal Muhammad
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Carlos Prates
33%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Islam Makhachev holds an 88.5% implied probability in the market as the dominant welterweight champion entering the final months of 2026, reflecting his recent capture of the title via dominant decision over Jack Della Maddalena in November 2025 and successful first defense against Ian Machado Garry in August 2026. The two-division champion’s suffocating wrestling, record-extending win streak, and consistent pound-for-pound superiority have shaped trader consensus around sustained control through year-end. Carlos Prates sits at 10.4% as the clearest alternative, but realistic shifts would require an unexpected injury setback, a narrow loss in a high-stakes defense, or rapid emergence from an unproven contender altering the division landscape before December 31.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions