US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled after the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding expired around August 17 without extension, amid mutual accusations of violations over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and frozen assets. President Trump has described ongoing or “low-key” indirect messaging through intermediaries such as Oman, Qatar, and Pakistan, while Iranian officials including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi state no decision has been made to resume direct talks and cite unmet conditions. The 60-day negotiation window tied to the memorandum has concluded without a final deal on nuclear issues or maritime access. With only days remaining until August 31, trader sentiment reflects limited near-term prospects for a new round unless mediators broker an immediate breakthrough or one side alters its demands on compensation and shipping protocols.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$93,892 Vol.
31 ago 2026
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
10%
Nick Stewart
16%
Kazem Gharibabadi
7%
Jared Kushner
5%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
5%
Steve Witkoff
4%
Pete Hegseth
3%
Abbas Araghchi
3%
Ishaq Dar
3%
Marco Rubio
2%
J.D. Vance
2%
Rafael Grossi
2%
Donald Trump
2%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
<1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
47%
$93,892 Vol.
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,730 Vol.
10%
Nick Stewart
$36 Vol.
16%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,690 Vol.
7%
Jared Kushner
$13,481 Vol.
5%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$12,051 Vol.
5%
Steve Witkoff
$13,535 Vol.
4%
Pete Hegseth
$2,630 Vol.
3%
Abbas Araghchi
$9,040 Vol.
3%
Ishaq Dar
$2,920 Vol.
3%
Marco Rubio
$7,581 Vol.
2%
J.D. Vance
$11,213 Vol.
2%
Rafael Grossi
$886 Vol.
2%
Donald Trump
$6,525 Vol.
2%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$317 Vol.
1%
Esmail Qaani
$476 Vol.
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,719 Vol.
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,567 Vol.
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$3,234 Vol.
<1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$259 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled after the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding expired around August 17 without extension, amid mutual accusations of violations over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and frozen assets. President Trump has described ongoing or “low-key” indirect messaging through intermediaries such as Oman, Qatar, and Pakistan, while Iranian officials including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi state no decision has been made to resume direct talks and cite unmet conditions. The 60-day negotiation window tied to the memorandum has concluded without a final deal on nuclear issues or maritime access. With only days remaining until August 31, trader sentiment reflects limited near-term prospects for a new round unless mediators broker an immediate breakthrough or one side alters its demands on compensation and shipping protocols.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volume
$93,892Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled after the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding expired around August 17 without extension, amid mutual accusations of violations over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and frozen assets. President Trump has described ongoing or “low-key” indirect messaging through intermediaries such as Oman, Qatar, and Pakistan, while Iranian officials including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi state no decision has been made to resume direct talks and cite unmet conditions. The 60-day negotiation window tied to the memorandum has concluded without a final deal on nuclear issues or maritime access. With only days remaining until August 31, trader sentiment reflects limited near-term prospects for a new round unless mediators broker an immediate breakthrough or one side alters its demands on compensation and shipping protocols.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$93,892Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled after the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding expired around August 17 without extension, amid mutual accusations of violations over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and frozen assets. President Trump has described ongoing or “low-key” indirect messaging through intermediaries such as Oman, Qatar, and Pakistan, while Iranian officials including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi state no decision has been made to resume direct talks and cite unmet conditions. The 60-day negotiation window tied to the memorandum has concluded without a final deal on nuclear issues or maritime access. With only days remaining until August 31, trader sentiment reflects limited near-term prospects for a new round unless mediators broker an immediate breakthrough or one side alters its demands on compensation and shipping protocols.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions