The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed on August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes mutual defense obligations and explicitly invites additional members to strengthen collective deterrence amid ongoing regional instability. Trader sentiment centers on diplomatic signals from Turkish officials highlighting Egypt as a near-term candidate due to existing security consultations and shared interests, while other Gulf states such as Qatar and Kuwait, along with Jordan, Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, and Syria, have received mentions or shown preliminary openness. Recent unconfirmed reports of an Iranian invitation add uncertainty, though signatories stress the pact's defensive, non-sectarian character and compatibility with existing alliances. With resolution set for December 31, 2026, key variables include upcoming bilateral visits, technical accession talks, and any escalation or de-escalation in broader Middle East security dynamics that could accelerate or stall formal joinings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuais países aderirão ao Acordo de Meca até 31 de dezembro?

Sudão
68%

Iraque
53%

Egito
35%

Síria
29%

Bahrein
21%

Somália
18%

Catar
16%

Marrocos
16%

Jordânia
16%

Irã
11%

Kuwait
11%

Iémen
9%

Emirados Árabes Unidos
9%

Omã
8%

Argélia
7%

Líbano
7%
$8,080 Vol.

Sudão
68%

Iraque
53%

Egito
35%

Síria
29%

Bahrein
21%

Somália
18%

Catar
16%

Marrocos
16%

Jordânia
16%

Irã
11%

Kuwait
11%

Iémen
9%

Emirados Árabes Unidos
9%

Omã
8%

Argélia
7%

Líbano
7%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed on August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan, establishes mutual defense obligations and explicitly invites additional members to strengthen collective deterrence amid ongoing regional instability. Trader sentiment centers on diplomatic signals from Turkish officials highlighting Egypt as a near-term candidate due to existing security consultations and shared interests, while other Gulf states such as Qatar and Kuwait, along with Jordan, Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, and Syria, have received mentions or shown preliminary openness. Recent unconfirmed reports of an Iranian invitation add uncertainty, though signatories stress the pact's defensive, non-sectarian character and compatibility with existing alliances. With resolution set for December 31, 2026, key variables include upcoming bilateral visits, technical accession talks, and any escalation or de-escalation in broader Middle East security dynamics that could accelerate or stall formal joinings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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