Traders see the most-viewed TV show for the week of August 10-16 likely landing below 7 million viewers, with <7m holding a slim edge at 50.5% implied probability amid overlapping ranges around 8m. Summer scheduling drives the positioning, as broadcast news programs like ABC World News Tonight post steady 7-8.5 million averages while scripted and streaming originals face lighter competition without major sports or tentpole premieres. Netflix’s Little House on the Prairie remake leads streaming minutes viewed but trails in traditional linear metrics, leaving room for acquired titles or new debuts like The Hawk to close gaps. Key differentiators include final Nielsen adjustments for on-demand and same-day viewing, plus any late-week sports or event spikes that could push totals into the 8m-9m brackets before the period closes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado# Visualizações do programa de TV mais visto esta semana (10 a 16 de agosto)
# Visualizações do programa de TV mais visto esta semana (10 a 16 de agosto)
<7m 51%
9,5m–10m 46%
8 mi–8,5 mi 44%
7,5m–8m 39%
NOVO
NOVO
20 ago 2026
<7m
51%
7 mi–7,5 mi
38%
7,5m–8m
39%
8 mi–8,5 mi
44%
8,5m–9m
39%
9M–9,5M
39%
9,5m–10m
46%
10 milhões+
27%
<7m 51%
9,5m–10m 46%
8 mi–8,5 mi 44%
7,5m–8m 39%
NOVO
NOVO
20 ago 2026
<7m
$0 Vol.
51%
7 mi–7,5 mi
$0 Vol.
38%
7,5m–8m
$0 Vol.
39%
8 mi–8,5 mi
$0 Vol.
44%
8,5m–9m
$0 Vol.
39%
9M–9,5M
$0 Vol.
39%
9,5m–10m
$0 Vol.
46%
10 milhões+
$0 Vol.
27%
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday).
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 10 - August 16.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).Traders see the most-viewed TV show for the week of August 10-16 likely landing below 7 million viewers, with <7m holding a slim edge at 50.5% implied probability amid overlapping ranges around 8m. Summer scheduling drives the positioning, as broadcast news programs like ABC World News Tonight post steady 7-8.5 million averages while scripted and streaming originals face lighter competition without major sports or tentpole premieres. Netflix’s Little House on the Prairie remake leads streaming minutes viewed but trails in traditional linear metrics, leaving room for acquired titles or new debuts like The Hawk to close gaps. Key differentiators include final Nielsen adjustments for on-demand and same-day viewing, plus any late-week sports or event spikes that could push totals into the 8m-9m brackets before the period closes.
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday).
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 10 - August 16.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 10 - August 16.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 3:25 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
20 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 3:25 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#televisionResolver
0x69c47De9D...Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday).
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 10 - August 16.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).Traders see the most-viewed TV show for the week of August 10-16 likely landing below 7 million viewers, with <7m holding a slim edge at 50.5% implied probability amid overlapping ranges around 8m. Summer scheduling drives the positioning, as broadcast news programs like ABC World News Tonight post steady 7-8.5 million averages while scripted and streaming originals face lighter competition without major sports or tentpole premieres. Netflix’s Little House on the Prairie remake leads streaming minutes viewed but trails in traditional linear metrics, leaving room for acquired titles or new debuts like The Hawk to close gaps. Key differentiators include final Nielsen adjustments for on-demand and same-day viewing, plus any late-week sports or event spikes that could push totals into the 8m-9m brackets before the period closes.
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday).
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 10 - August 16.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 10 - August 16.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Volume
$0Data de Término
20 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 3:25 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#televisionResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the most-viewed TV show for the week of August 10-16 likely landing below 7 million viewers, with <7m holding a slim edge at 50.5% implied probability amid overlapping ranges around 8m. Summer scheduling drives the positioning, as broadcast news programs like ABC World News Tonight post steady 7-8.5 million averages while scripted and streaming originals face lighter competition without major sports or tentpole premieres. Netflix’s Little House on the Prairie remake leads streaming minutes viewed but trails in traditional linear metrics, leaving room for acquired titles or new debuts like The Hawk to close gaps. Key differentiators include final Nielsen adjustments for on-demand and same-day viewing, plus any late-week sports or event spikes that could push totals into the 8m-9m brackets before the period closes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
Will the most viewed episode of The Five for the week of August 10 - August 16 have between 3.5 million and 3.75 million viewers?
49%
O episódio mais assistido do NBC Nightly News na semana de 10 a 16 de agosto terá menos de 5,5 milhões de telespectadores?
49%
Sim
Segunda-feira será o dia mais assistido de The Five na semana de 10 a 16 de agosto?
27%
Sim
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Frequently Asked Questions