Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend on July 31, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power and strong fan anticipation after weaker recent Marvel releases, has propelled it past $550 million domestically by early August. A solid second weekend of roughly $143 million brought the cume to about $653 million, even with a steep drop, underscoring sustained audience interest and premium-format dominance. With three weeks remaining until the August 31 cutoff and competition from The Odyssey, traders see the film’s legs as the key swing factor determining whether it finishes comfortably under or just above $900–920 million. Strong word-of-mouth and historical Spider-Man holdover patterns support the current market-implied odds clustering in the sub-$920 million range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total bruto doméstico até 31 de agosto? (Golpes mais altos)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total bruto doméstico até 31 de agosto? (Golpes mais altos)
<900m 56%
900 - 920m 22%
1020 - 1040m 20%
920 - 940m 12%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
<900m
56%
900 - 920m
34%
920 - 940m
12%
940 - 960m
5%
960 - 980m
19%
980 - 1000m
7%
1000 - 1020m
18%
1020 - 1040m
20%
1040 - 1060m
14%
1060 - 1080m
10%
1080m+
8%
<900m 56%
900 - 920m 22%
1020 - 1040m 20%
920 - 940m 12%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
<900m
$165 Vol.
56%
900 - 920m
$65 Vol.
34%
920 - 940m
$304 Vol.
12%
940 - 960m
$794 Vol.
5%
960 - 980m
$45 Vol.
19%
980 - 1000m
$372 Vol.
7%
1000 - 1020m
$86 Vol.
18%
1020 - 1040m
$30 Vol.
20%
1040 - 1060m
$45 Vol.
14%
1060 - 1080m
$57 Vol.
10%
1080m+
$51 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend on July 31, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power and strong fan anticipation after weaker recent Marvel releases, has propelled it past $550 million domestically by early August. A solid second weekend of roughly $143 million brought the cume to about $653 million, even with a steep drop, underscoring sustained audience interest and premium-format dominance. With three weeks remaining until the August 31 cutoff and competition from The Odyssey, traders see the film’s legs as the key swing factor determining whether it finishes comfortably under or just above $900–920 million. Strong word-of-mouth and historical Spider-Man holdover patterns support the current market-implied odds clustering in the sub-$920 million range.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Volume
$2,014Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend on July 31, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power and strong fan anticipation after weaker recent Marvel releases, has propelled it past $550 million domestically by early August. A solid second weekend of roughly $143 million brought the cume to about $653 million, even with a steep drop, underscoring sustained audience interest and premium-format dominance. With three weeks remaining until the August 31 cutoff and competition from The Odyssey, traders see the film’s legs as the key swing factor determining whether it finishes comfortably under or just above $900–920 million. Strong word-of-mouth and historical Spider-Man holdover patterns support the current market-implied odds clustering in the sub-$920 million range.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$2,014Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend on July 31, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power and strong fan anticipation after weaker recent Marvel releases, has propelled it past $550 million domestically by early August. A solid second weekend of roughly $143 million brought the cume to about $653 million, even with a steep drop, underscoring sustained audience interest and premium-format dominance. With three weeks remaining until the August 31 cutoff and competition from The Odyssey, traders see the film’s legs as the key swing factor determining whether it finishes comfortably under or just above $900–920 million. Strong word-of-mouth and historical Spider-Man holdover patterns support the current market-implied odds clustering in the sub-$920 million range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions