**Record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" (released July 31, 2026) has established it as the biggest debut in box office history, narrowly topping "Avengers: Endgame."** This launch, paired with exceptional word-of-mouth and minimal summer competition, has driven rapid accumulation to roughly $450–550 million domestically within the first nine days, including a record $42 million Tuesday. Traders see the film on pace for an 800–900 million or higher total by August 31 due to sustained momentum—second-weekend estimates of $142–160 million and strong legs from audience enthusiasm and premium formats. Historical patterns for tentpoles with similar debuts and positive reception support continued dominance through the month, though exact legs remain the key swing factor. Lower brackets below 700 million hold negligible implied probability given current trajectory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total bruto doméstico até 31 de agosto?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total bruto doméstico até 31 de agosto?
900M+ 64.4%
800 - 900 milhões 34%
700 - 800 milhões <1%
<400 milhões <1%
$675,011 Vol.
$675,011 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<400 milhões
<1%
400 - 500 milhões
<1%
500 - 600 milhões
<1%
600 - 700 milhões
<1%
700 - 800 milhões
1%
800 - 900 milhões
34%
900M+
64%
900M+ 64.4%
800 - 900 milhões 34%
700 - 800 milhões <1%
<400 milhões <1%
$675,011 Vol.
$675,011 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<400 milhões
$6,210 Vol.
<1%
400 - 500 milhões
$21,005 Vol.
<1%
500 - 600 milhões
$26,654 Vol.
<1%
600 - 700 milhões
$39,584 Vol.
<1%
700 - 800 milhões
$53,074 Vol.
1%
800 - 900 milhões
$98,860 Vol.
34%
900M+
$429,626 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" (released July 31, 2026) has established it as the biggest debut in box office history, narrowly topping "Avengers: Endgame."** This launch, paired with exceptional word-of-mouth and minimal summer competition, has driven rapid accumulation to roughly $450–550 million domestically within the first nine days, including a record $42 million Tuesday.
Traders see the film on pace for an 800–900 million or higher total by August 31 due to sustained momentum—second-weekend estimates of $142–160 million and strong legs from audience enthusiasm and premium formats. Historical patterns for tentpoles with similar debuts and positive reception support continued dominance through the month, though exact legs remain the key swing factor. Lower brackets below 700 million hold negligible implied probability given current trajectory.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$675,011Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" (released July 31, 2026) has established it as the biggest debut in box office history, narrowly topping "Avengers: Endgame."** This launch, paired with exceptional word-of-mouth and minimal summer competition, has driven rapid accumulation to roughly $450–550 million domestically within the first nine days, including a record $42 million Tuesday.
Traders see the film on pace for an 800–900 million or higher total by August 31 due to sustained momentum—second-weekend estimates of $142–160 million and strong legs from audience enthusiasm and premium formats. Historical patterns for tentpoles with similar debuts and positive reception support continued dominance through the month, though exact legs remain the key swing factor. Lower brackets below 700 million hold negligible implied probability given current trajectory.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$675,011Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" (released July 31, 2026) has established it as the biggest debut in box office history, narrowly topping "Avengers: Endgame."** This launch, paired with exceptional word-of-mouth and minimal summer competition, has driven rapid accumulation to roughly $450–550 million domestically within the first nine days, including a record $42 million Tuesday. Traders see the film on pace for an 800–900 million or higher total by August 31 due to sustained momentum—second-weekend estimates of $142–160 million and strong legs from audience enthusiasm and premium formats. Historical patterns for tentpoles with similar debuts and positive reception support continued dominance through the month, though exact legs remain the key swing factor. Lower brackets below 700 million hold negligible implied probability given current trajectory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?
51%
O faturamento do segundo fim de semana de 'Homem-Aranha: Um Novo Dia' ficará entre 140 e 150 milhões?
92%
Sim
A receita doméstica total de The Odyssey será de pelo menos 350 milhões até 31 de agosto?
99%
Sim
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions