Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening has anchored trader consensus on a 140-150 million second weekend, reflecting the film’s unprecedented early momentum, including the biggest Tuesday ever and rapid passage of the $1 billion global mark. August timing and a projected 60 percent-plus drop align with historical sophomore frames for summer tentpoles like Avengers: Endgame, yet the movie’s cultural dominance and PLF strength support the narrow range. An upset into 150-160 million would require stronger-than-expected holds or IMAX boosts, while sub-140 million remains unlikely absent major competition or audience fatigue.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2º fim de semana de bilheteria (Lower Strikes)
140-150 milhões 93%
150-160 milhões 8%
130-140 milhões 1.4%
<130 milhões <1%
$111,289 Vol.
$111,289 Vol.
<130 milhões
<1%
130-140 milhões
1%
140-150 milhões
93%
150-160 milhões
8%
160-170 milhões
<1%
170-180 milhões
<1%
180 milhões+
<1%
140-150 milhões 93%
150-160 milhões 8%
130-140 milhões 1.4%
<130 milhões <1%
$111,289 Vol.
$111,289 Vol.
<130 milhões
<1%
130-140 milhões
1%
140-150 milhões
93%
150-160 milhões
8%
160-170 milhões
<1%
170-180 milhões
<1%
180 milhões+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening has anchored trader consensus on a 140-150 million second weekend, reflecting the film’s unprecedented early momentum, including the biggest Tuesday ever and rapid passage of the $1 billion global mark. August timing and a projected 60 percent-plus drop align with historical sophomore frames for summer tentpoles like Avengers: Endgame, yet the movie’s cultural dominance and PLF strength support the narrow range. An upset into 150-160 million would require stronger-than-expected holds or IMAX boosts, while sub-140 million remains unlikely absent major competition or audience fatigue.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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