Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening on July 31 has fueled exceptional awareness and repeat viewings, positioning its second-weekend gross firmly below $180 million at 99.6% market-implied odds. Projections peg the frame at roughly $143 million—a 60% decline—supported by strong word-of-mouth, premium large-format screens driving over 30% of earnings, and limited competition. The film already holds the highest 10-day domestic total in history at $653 million. An upset above $180 million would require dramatically better-than-expected audience retention or an unforeseen external boost, scenarios traders view as highly improbable given the data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 99.6%
180-190 milhões <1%
190-200m <1%
200-210 milhões <1%
$58,184 Vol.
$58,184 Vol.
9 ago 2026
<180m
100%
180-190 milhões
<1%
190-200m
<1%
200-210 milhões
<1%
210-220 milhões
<1%
220 milhões+
<1%
<180m 99.6%
180-190 milhões <1%
190-200m <1%
200-210 milhões <1%
$58,184 Vol.
$58,184 Vol.
9 ago 2026
<180m
$38,806 Vol.
100%
180-190 milhões
$5,434 Vol.
<1%
190-200m
$4,010 Vol.
<1%
200-210 milhões
$1,936 Vol.
<1%
210-220 milhões
$3,503 Vol.
<1%
220 milhões+
$4,495 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening on July 31 has fueled exceptional awareness and repeat viewings, positioning its second-weekend gross firmly below $180 million at 99.6% market-implied odds. Projections peg the frame at roughly $143 million—a 60% decline—supported by strong word-of-mouth, premium large-format screens driving over 30% of earnings, and limited competition. The film already holds the highest 10-day domestic total in history at $653 million. An upset above $180 million would require dramatically better-than-expected audience retention or an unforeseen external boost, scenarios traders view as highly improbable given the data.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Volume
$58,184Data de Término
9 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening on July 31 has fueled exceptional awareness and repeat viewings, positioning its second-weekend gross firmly below $180 million at 99.6% market-implied odds. Projections peg the frame at roughly $143 million—a 60% decline—supported by strong word-of-mouth, premium large-format screens driving over 30% of earnings, and limited competition. The film already holds the highest 10-day domestic total in history at $653 million. An upset above $180 million would require dramatically better-than-expected audience retention or an unforeseen external boost, scenarios traders view as highly improbable given the data.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$58,184Data de Término
9 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening on July 31 has fueled exceptional awareness and repeat viewings, positioning its second-weekend gross firmly below $180 million at 99.6% market-implied odds. Projections peg the frame at roughly $143 million—a 60% decline—supported by strong word-of-mouth, premium large-format screens driving over 30% of earnings, and limited competition. The film already holds the highest 10-day domestic total in history at $653 million. An upset above $180 million would require dramatically better-than-expected audience retention or an unforeseen external boost, scenarios traders view as highly improbable given the data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
O faturamento do segundo fim de semana de 'Homem-Aranha: Um Novo Dia' ficará entre 140 e 150 milhões?
73%
Sim
O total da bilheteira doméstica de Homem-Aranha: Um Novo Dia será de pelo menos 900 milhões até 31 de agosto?
60%
Sim
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?
42%
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions