**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** delivered a record $360 million domestic opening weekend on July 31, 2026, propelling it past $1.1 billion worldwide within days and establishing dominant momentum through strong audience scores near 98 percent. Industry forecasts for its second frame (August 7–9) cluster between $142 million and $160 million, reflecting typical post-opening drops for summer tentpoles in a non-holiday corridor alongside minimal direct competition. Traders assign overwhelming implied probability to sub-$180 million results because historical precedents for even the strongest debuts show steep second-weekend declines, though added IMAX capacity or exceptional word-of-mouth retention could theoretically push toward the high end of projections. The market reflects aggregated real-money assessment of these box-office dynamics rather than a guarantee.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 99.6%
180-190 milhões <1%
190-200m <1%
200-210 milhões <1%
$58,184 Vol.
$58,184 Vol.
<180m
100%
180-190 milhões
<1%
190-200m
<1%
200-210 milhões
<1%
210-220 milhões
<1%
220 milhões+
<1%
<180m 99.6%
180-190 milhões <1%
190-200m <1%
200-210 milhões <1%
$58,184 Vol.
$58,184 Vol.
<180m
100%
180-190 milhões
<1%
190-200m
<1%
200-210 milhões
<1%
210-220 milhões
<1%
220 milhões+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** delivered a record $360 million domestic opening weekend on July 31, 2026, propelling it past $1.1 billion worldwide within days and establishing dominant momentum through strong audience scores near 98 percent. Industry forecasts for its second frame (August 7–9) cluster between $142 million and $160 million, reflecting typical post-opening drops for summer tentpoles in a non-holiday corridor alongside minimal direct competition. Traders assign overwhelming implied probability to sub-$180 million results because historical precedents for even the strongest debuts show steep second-weekend declines, though added IMAX capacity or exceptional word-of-mouth retention could theoretically push toward the high end of projections. The market reflects aggregated real-money assessment of these box-office dynamics rather than a guarantee.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions