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icon for Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?

Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?

icon for Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?

Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?

$56,891 Vol.

30 out 2026
Polymarket

$56,891 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de outubro de 2026

$71 Vol.

28%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rodrigo Paz assumed Bolivia’s presidency in November 2025 after defeating a conservative rival in a runoff that ended two decades of MAS dominance. His centrist government has since confronted repeated challenges from Evo Morales-aligned groups, including a 50-day wave of roadblocks and protests in mid-2026 over fuel subsidy cuts, spending reductions, and perceived elite favoritism. Paz declared a nationwide state of emergency, authorized military clearance of blockades, and saw cabinet resignations amid the unrest; the crisis eased by late June, leaving him politically strengthened yet still facing coalition fractures. Subnational election results in March delivered only limited governorship gains, while ongoing economic contraction, IMF-backed reform negotiations, and congressional resistance to energy and mining overhauls continue to test legislative support. These pressures, alongside scheduled legislative debates and potential renewed street opposition, shape trader assessments of removal risks before year-end deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$56,891
Data de Término
1 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rodrigo Paz assumed Bolivia’s presidency in November 2025 after defeating a conservative rival in a runoff that ended two decades of MAS dominance. His centrist government has since confronted repeated challenges from Evo Morales-aligned groups, including a 50-day wave of roadblocks and protests in mid-2026 over fuel subsidy cuts, spending reductions, and perceived elite favoritism. Paz declared a nationwide state of emergency, authorized military clearance of blockades, and saw cabinet resignations amid the unrest; the crisis eased by late June, leaving him politically strengthened yet still facing coalition fractures. Subnational election results in March delivered only limited governorship gains, while ongoing economic contraction, IMF-backed reform negotiations, and congressional resistance to energy and mining overhauls continue to test legislative support. These pressures, alongside scheduled legislative debates and potential renewed street opposition, shape trader assessments of removal risks before year-end deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$56,891
Data de Término
1 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de outubro de 2026" at 28%, followed by "July 31, 2026" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?" has generated $56.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?" is "31 de outubro de 2026" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "July 31, 2026" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.