Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois leading vote intentions near 28-30%, with the CAQ surging to 23-27% and the PLQ falling to around 20-23% in the days after the October 5 election was called. The CAQ gains appear concentrated among francophones and older voters, partly at the PLQ’s expense, while the Liberals retain strength among anglophones and allophones in Montreal. Seat models project the PQ ahead for a plurality, the PLQ positioned for official opposition, and the CAQ, PCQ, and QS competing lower in the order. Regional variations, second-choice flows, and campaign momentum on trade and sovereignty issues keep the contest for third place fluid among the PLQ, CAQ, and smaller parties.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPLQ 53%
CAQ 23%
PCQ 13%
PQ 8%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
PLQ
53%
CAQ
23%
PCQ
13%
PQ
8%
QS
3%
PVQ
1%
PLQ 53%
CAQ 23%
PCQ 13%
PQ 8%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
PLQ
$1,072 Vol.
53%
CAQ
$683 Vol.
23%
PCQ
$388 Vol.
13%
PQ
$924 Vol.
8%
QS
$747 Vol.
3%
PVQ
$422 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois leading vote intentions near 28-30%, with the CAQ surging to 23-27% and the PLQ falling to around 20-23% in the days after the October 5 election was called. The CAQ gains appear concentrated among francophones and older voters, partly at the PLQ’s expense, while the Liberals retain strength among anglophones and allophones in Montreal. Seat models project the PQ ahead for a plurality, the PLQ positioned for official opposition, and the CAQ, PCQ, and QS competing lower in the order. Regional variations, second-choice flows, and campaign momentum on trade and sovereignty issues keep the contest for third place fluid among the PLQ, CAQ, and smaller parties.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,236Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois leading vote intentions near 28-30%, with the CAQ surging to 23-27% and the PLQ falling to around 20-23% in the days after the October 5 election was called. The CAQ gains appear concentrated among francophones and older voters, partly at the PLQ’s expense, while the Liberals retain strength among anglophones and allophones in Montreal. Seat models project the PQ ahead for a plurality, the PLQ positioned for official opposition, and the CAQ, PCQ, and QS competing lower in the order. Regional variations, second-choice flows, and campaign momentum on trade and sovereignty issues keep the contest for third place fluid among the PLQ, CAQ, and smaller parties.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$4,236Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois leading vote intentions near 28-30%, with the CAQ surging to 23-27% and the PLQ falling to around 20-23% in the days after the October 5 election was called. The CAQ gains appear concentrated among francophones and older voters, partly at the PLQ’s expense, while the Liberals retain strength among anglophones and allophones in Montreal. Seat models project the PQ ahead for a plurality, the PLQ positioned for official opposition, and the CAQ, PCQ, and QS competing lower in the order. Regional variations, second-choice flows, and campaign momentum on trade and sovereignty issues keep the contest for third place fluid among the PLQ, CAQ, and smaller parties.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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