Wild Horse Nine leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Original Screenplay Oscar at 40.5% implied probability, buoyed by Martin McDonagh’s established awards pedigree and strong early buzz around its November 2026 release and star-studded cast. Obsession follows at 21.5%, with Digger, Fjord, and The Debut clustered in the low teens as other auteur-driven originals. The unusually flat field reflects the pre-release stage of the 2026 cycle, where most contenders lack screenings, guild precursors, or box-office data to separate them. Key swing factors ahead include festival debuts, critical reception, and eventual guild nominations, all of which historically reorder screenplay contenders rapidly once the films reach voters.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Wild Horse Nine 41%
Obsession 22%
Digger 11%
Fjord 9%
NOVO
NOVO
14 mar 2027
Wild Horse Nine
41%
Obsession
22%
Digger
11%
Fjord
9%
Josephine
6%
The Drama
6%
The Debut
8%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
5%
The Invite
5%
A Place in Hell
4%
The Odyssey
3%
Club Kid
3%
Elsinore
2%
Fatherland
2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
8%
The Black Ball
8%
Forgotten Island
2%
Wild Horse Nine 41%
Obsession 22%
Digger 11%
Fjord 9%
NOVO
NOVO
14 mar 2027
Wild Horse Nine
$5,488 Vol.
41%
Obsession
$121 Vol.
22%
Digger
$329 Vol.
11%
Fjord
$83 Vol.
9%
Josephine
$56 Vol.
6%
The Drama
$36 Vol.
6%
The Debut
$102 Vol.
8%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
$56 Vol.
5%
The Invite
$36 Vol.
5%
A Place in Hell
$56 Vol.
4%
The Odyssey
$56 Vol.
3%
Club Kid
$39 Vol.
3%
Elsinore
$36 Vol.
2%
Fatherland
$36 Vol.
2%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$102 Vol.
8%
The Black Ball
$93 Vol.
8%
Forgotten Island
$36 Vol.
2%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Wild Horse Nine leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Original Screenplay Oscar at 40.5% implied probability, buoyed by Martin McDonagh’s established awards pedigree and strong early buzz around its November 2026 release and star-studded cast. Obsession follows at 21.5%, with Digger, Fjord, and The Debut clustered in the low teens as other auteur-driven originals. The unusually flat field reflects the pre-release stage of the 2026 cycle, where most contenders lack screenings, guild precursors, or box-office data to separate them. Key swing factors ahead include festival debuts, critical reception, and eventual guild nominations, all of which historically reorder screenplay contenders rapidly once the films reach voters.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volume
$6,757Data de Término
14 mar 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Wild Horse Nine leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Original Screenplay Oscar at 40.5% implied probability, buoyed by Martin McDonagh’s established awards pedigree and strong early buzz around its November 2026 release and star-studded cast. Obsession follows at 21.5%, with Digger, Fjord, and The Debut clustered in the low teens as other auteur-driven originals. The unusually flat field reflects the pre-release stage of the 2026 cycle, where most contenders lack screenings, guild precursors, or box-office data to separate them. Key swing factors ahead include festival debuts, critical reception, and eventual guild nominations, all of which historically reorder screenplay contenders rapidly once the films reach voters.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,757Data de Término
14 mar 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wild Horse Nine leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Original Screenplay Oscar at 40.5% implied probability, buoyed by Martin McDonagh’s established awards pedigree and strong early buzz around its November 2026 release and star-studded cast. Obsession follows at 21.5%, with Digger, Fjord, and The Debut clustered in the low teens as other auteur-driven originals. The unusually flat field reflects the pre-release stage of the 2026 cycle, where most contenders lack screenings, guild precursors, or box-office data to separate them. Key swing factors ahead include festival debuts, critical reception, and eventual guild nominations, all of which historically reorder screenplay contenders rapidly once the films reach voters.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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