Tom Cruise in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s “Digger” and Matt Damon in Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” drive current trader sentiment, holding the top implied probabilities at 29% and 28.5% respectively. Their leads stem from the directors’ proven awards track records—Iñárritu’s two Best Director wins and Nolan’s multiple nominations—combined with early industry buzz around these high-profile 2026 releases. Andrew Scott sits at 16.5% on supporting roles and festival anticipation, while lower-odds names like Robert Pattinson and Ryan Gosling reflect smaller or less certain campaigns at this stage. With no major precursors yet and most films unreleased, the race remains fluid ahead of fall festivals and guild season, where reviews, box office tracking, and narrative momentum could shift the field quickly.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOscars 2027: Vencedor de Melhor Ator
Tom Cruise 30%
Matt Damon 29%
Andrew Scott 17%
Robert Pattinson 8.4%
$61,866 Vol.
$61,866 Vol.

Tom Cruise
30%

Matt Damon
29%

Andrew Scott
17%

Robert Pattinson
8%

John Malkovich
8%

Sebastian Stan
3%

Ryan Gosling
3%

Sam Rockwell
3%

Javier Bardem
2%

Timothée Chalamet
2%

Pedro Pascal
1%

Brad Pitt
1%

Robert Aramayo
1%

Josh O'Connor
1%

Jeremy Strong
<1%

John Turturro
<1%

Jaafar Jackson
<1%

Adam Driver
<1%
Tom Cruise 30%
Matt Damon 29%
Andrew Scott 17%
Robert Pattinson 8.4%
$61,866 Vol.
$61,866 Vol.

Tom Cruise
30%

Matt Damon
29%

Andrew Scott
17%

Robert Pattinson
8%

John Malkovich
8%

Sebastian Stan
3%

Ryan Gosling
3%

Sam Rockwell
3%

Javier Bardem
2%

Timothée Chalamet
2%

Pedro Pascal
1%

Brad Pitt
1%

Robert Aramayo
1%

Josh O'Connor
1%

Jeremy Strong
<1%

John Turturro
<1%

Jaafar Jackson
<1%

Adam Driver
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tom Cruise in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s “Digger” and Matt Damon in Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” drive current trader sentiment, holding the top implied probabilities at 29% and 28.5% respectively. Their leads stem from the directors’ proven awards track records—Iñárritu’s two Best Director wins and Nolan’s multiple nominations—combined with early industry buzz around these high-profile 2026 releases. Andrew Scott sits at 16.5% on supporting roles and festival anticipation, while lower-odds names like Robert Pattinson and Ryan Gosling reflect smaller or less certain campaigns at this stage. With no major precursors yet and most films unreleased, the race remains fluid ahead of fall festivals and guild season, where reviews, box office tracking, and narrative momentum could shift the field quickly.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions