**One Night Only** opened to a dismal $2.81 million in its first weekend, far below pre-release tracking of $8–12 million. Heavy competition from holdovers like *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* and *The Odyssey*, plus fellow newcomer *Super Troopers 3*, diluted audience interest for the Will Gluck-directed rom-com starring Callum Turner and Monica Barbaro. Limited marketing momentum and a crowded August slate suppressed turnout despite a wide 3,000-theater release. The market’s 97% implied probability on sub-$6 million reflects this clear underperformance. An upset into the 6–9 million range would require an unprecedented word-of-mouth surge or major reporting adjustments, scenarios that appear highly improbable given current tracking and competitive dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoBilheteria de abertura do fim de semana "One Night Only"
Bilheteria de abertura do fim de semana "One Night Only"
<6m 97.0%
6-7m 1.6%
7-8m <1%
8-9m <1%
$24,064 Vol.
$24,064 Vol.
9 ago 2026
<6m
97%
6-7m
2%
7-8m
1%
8-9m
<1%
9 milhões+
<1%
<6m 97.0%
6-7m 1.6%
7-8m <1%
8-9m <1%
$24,064 Vol.
$24,064 Vol.
9 ago 2026
<6m
$10,598 Vol.
97%
6-7m
$1,266 Vol.
2%
7-8m
$1,410 Vol.
1%
8-9m
$3,649 Vol.
<1%
9 milhões+
$7,141 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**One Night Only** opened to a dismal $2.81 million in its first weekend, far below pre-release tracking of $8–12 million. Heavy competition from holdovers like *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* and *The Odyssey*, plus fellow newcomer *Super Troopers 3*, diluted audience interest for the Will Gluck-directed rom-com starring Callum Turner and Monica Barbaro. Limited marketing momentum and a crowded August slate suppressed turnout despite a wide 3,000-theater release. The market’s 97% implied probability on sub-$6 million reflects this clear underperformance. An upset into the 6–9 million range would require an unprecedented word-of-mouth surge or major reporting adjustments, scenarios that appear highly improbable given current tracking and competitive dynamics.
This market will resolve according to how much "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Volume
$24,064Data de Término
9 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**One Night Only** opened to a dismal $2.81 million in its first weekend, far below pre-release tracking of $8–12 million. Heavy competition from holdovers like *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* and *The Odyssey*, plus fellow newcomer *Super Troopers 3*, diluted audience interest for the Will Gluck-directed rom-com starring Callum Turner and Monica Barbaro. Limited marketing momentum and a crowded August slate suppressed turnout despite a wide 3,000-theater release. The market’s 97% implied probability on sub-$6 million reflects this clear underperformance. An upset into the 6–9 million range would require an unprecedented word-of-mouth surge or major reporting adjustments, scenarios that appear highly improbable given current tracking and competitive dynamics.
This market will resolve according to how much "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$24,064Data de Término
9 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**One Night Only** opened to a dismal $2.81 million in its first weekend, far below pre-release tracking of $8–12 million. Heavy competition from holdovers like *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* and *The Odyssey*, plus fellow newcomer *Super Troopers 3*, diluted audience interest for the Will Gluck-directed rom-com starring Callum Turner and Monica Barbaro. Limited marketing momentum and a crowded August slate suppressed turnout despite a wide 3,000-theater release. The market’s 97% implied probability on sub-$6 million reflects this clear underperformance. An upset into the 6–9 million range would require an unprecedented word-of-mouth surge or major reporting adjustments, scenarios that appear highly improbable given current tracking and competitive dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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