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icon for Netanyahu desiste das eleições em Israel por...?

Netanyahu desiste das eleições em Israel por...?

icon for Netanyahu desiste das eleições em Israel por...?

Netanyahu desiste das eleições em Israel por...?

$190,508 Vol.

30 set 2026
Polymarket

$190,508 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de setembro

$81,754 Vol.

2%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Netanyahu remains actively engaged in campaigning for the October 27, 2026, Knesset election as Likud leader, with no public statements or actions indicating withdrawal.** Recent developments include his party finalizing candidate lists, promoting campaign content, and pushing right-wing alliances to reach the 61-seat threshold amid polls showing Likud and the broader nationalist-religious bloc trailing or narrowly competitive with opposition forces led by Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party. Netanyahu has publicly reaffirmed his intent to seek another term, focusing on security issues and coalition consolidation despite internal pressures and voter fatigue reflected in surveys. Upcoming events such as final list submissions, early voting at embassies, and the vote itself continue to frame his participation as the baseline scenario, consistent with trader pricing that assigns near-certain probability to him remaining on the ballot through late September.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$190,508
Data de Término
1 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Netanyahu remains actively engaged in campaigning for the October 27, 2026, Knesset election as Likud leader, with no public statements or actions indicating withdrawal.** Recent developments include his party finalizing candidate lists, promoting campaign content, and pushing right-wing alliances to reach the 61-seat threshold amid polls showing Likud and the broader nationalist-religious bloc trailing or narrowly competitive with opposition forces led by Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party. Netanyahu has publicly reaffirmed his intent to seek another term, focusing on security issues and coalition consolidation despite internal pressures and voter fatigue reflected in surveys. Upcoming events such as final list submissions, early voting at embassies, and the vote itself continue to frame his participation as the baseline scenario, consistent with trader pricing that assigns near-certain probability to him remaining on the ballot through late September.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$190,508
Data de Término
1 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Netanyahu desiste das eleições em Israel por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30 de setembro" at 2%, followed by "31 de julho" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 2¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 2% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Netanyahu desiste das eleições em Israel por...?" has generated $190.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Netanyahu desiste das eleições em Israel por...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Netanyahu desiste das eleições em Israel por...?" is "30 de setembro" at just 2%, with "31 de julho" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Netanyahu desiste das eleições em Israel por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.